TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof MOUZ, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$171,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98b1…d855backed Team Falcons60c33,170$19,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,3906041.7%25 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Team Falcons78c21,895$17,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,764.9883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ35c19,088$6,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,776.0261138.1%233 W · 378 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked MOUZ42c17,816$7,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,42524440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed MOUZ40c15,258$6,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,103.1821645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Team Falcons56c12,648$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,548.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed MOUZ40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9916449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Team Falcons62c4,509$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.618055%44 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed MOUZ30c4,492$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.832425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team Falcons57c4,338$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.41,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ47c4,289$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons58c4,100$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72235940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a1…6ae4backed MOUZ44c3,501$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed MOUZ25c3,261$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.35459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked MOUZ44c3,068$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Team Falcons48c2,579$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.818650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed MOUZ19c2,388$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.3418624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked MOUZ42c2,372$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8465…6bbdbacked MOUZ42c2,349$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.699541.1%39 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Team Falcons58c2,228$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.8520756%116 W · 91 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Team Falcons59c2,167$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.2575350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed MOUZ43c1,960$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Team Falcons59c1,735$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.352560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff4…eaf3backed MOUZ43c1,394$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.5711428.1%32 W · 82 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons58c1,380$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.660953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed MOUZ20c1,357$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.516349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed MOUZ8c1,161$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1710055%55 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed Team Falcons58c1,065$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.63548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed MOUZ39c1,042$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.7527345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons58c1,000$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42446340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f09…ff33backed MOUZ1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Team Falcons57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9913954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked MOUZ24c960$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23219849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e05…14e5backed MOUZ42c947.25$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed MOUZ18c888$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8455043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked MOUZ32c886.36$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.6247055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked MOUZ34c871.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ41c812.98$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.325,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Falcons57c700$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29822056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed MOUZ44c649.17$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.5315749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa248…19d9backed Team Falcons61c642.21$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.462347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons57c632.01$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.761,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked MOUZ57c600$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3434346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x798f…6f10backed MOUZ39c560.13$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc2e…41a7backed Team Falcons47c532$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.962268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+58.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda45…b320backed Team Falcons55c516.87$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Team Falcons57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed MOUZ3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed Team Falcons59c472.88$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.886657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ26c461.74$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.731,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Falcons60c425.67$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2726344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed MOUZ42c415.82$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6921437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked MOUZ39c382.4$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1311146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ba…02b7backed Team Falcons59c359.82$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked MOUZ32c353.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1984037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Team Falcons58c349.63$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2621639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89b…312dbacked Team Falcons76c346.89$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.92580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Team Falcons58c343.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4863345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Team Falcons61c340.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.981533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Team Falcons59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9816649.4%82 W · 84 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff70…2475backed MOUZ19c315.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked MOUZ41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1239838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Falcons59c297.05$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7926563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ40c295.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.21,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed MOUZ37c294.23$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Team Falcons57c280.39$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5710947.7%52 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ59c260$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Falcons67c250.06$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.391,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e93…6a20backed MOUZ40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010633%35 W · 71 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…0068backed Team Falcons74c245.17$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.171770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de2…0e84backed MOUZ17c230$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked MOUZ16c201.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.254759.6%28 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Team Falcons79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428155.6%45 W · 36 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-16.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a75…f947backed MOUZ13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed58…81f3backed Team Falcons60c193.87$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.551181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc405…8b56backed MOUZ13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Team Falcons58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.615642.3%66 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.61,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4499…d102backed Team Falcons56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Team Falcons58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4136751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2113…0bb0backed Team Falcons58c170.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…5c4abacked Team Falcons59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.499142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed MOUZ41c156.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.315545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked MOUZ23c153.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.620851.9%108 W · 100 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ58c150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed MOUZ8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ19c140$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed MOUZ43c139.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6037752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ33c133.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7826351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed Team Falcons58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.319860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed MOUZ40c119.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Falcons57c115$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4549849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ41c110$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.142057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked MOUZ36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed MOUZ23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked MOUZ19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195738.6%22 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1693…bf49backed Team Falcons40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.