TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cd0…0e01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
318
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 62 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5837.9%22 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$13.1
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+37.7%+$4.38
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$38.07
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+102.6%+$123.62
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43.35
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$34.4
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.87
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+69%+$24.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+83.1%+$29.5
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO1)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Vitality win the 2025 Blast Premier Rivals Season 2 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$33.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+69.5%+$61.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+66.4%+$19.95
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+114.3%+$80
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+126.9%+$27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$78.5
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3933.3%13 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+589.1%+$342.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$109.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$78.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29.92
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.87
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+249.3%+$40
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST3713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+1,533.2%+$248.93
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+1,204.3%+$277
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.69
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major US official out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.45
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.24
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.4
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.73
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+481.4%+$82.8
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.9
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35.1
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+102%+$101
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+170.3%+$125.99
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$150
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 24 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick22cpaid+91.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+875.4%+$143.62
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$46.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.39
All 18 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick16cpaid+162.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.59
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+376.2%+$158
Will Solana dip to $140 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+334.8%+$76.99
Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.4
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$61.48
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$162
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$27
Will Jean-Louis Borloo be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$64
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+305.4%+$226
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$12.45
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.68
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$70
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$81
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$62
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$76
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+134.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+284.6%+$52.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$286.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$332
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.