Lol · resolved market
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf3f0a5bed9581e73a72627db5ab875b3fffc9c126899dd5c9ef703e9cf144dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of 100 Thieves, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $370,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 37,584$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.66 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 23,990$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.54 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked 100 Thieves | 5c | 21,882$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.31 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…9968backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 21,387$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 10,817$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.66 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…3d55backed 100 Thieves | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 8,997$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.39 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 8,200$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 4,667$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.42 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 3,999$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.54 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed T1 | 77c | 3,961$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed T1 | 80c | 3,322$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.41 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed T1 | 69c | 2,920$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…9880backed T1 | 77c | 2,900$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ae07backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 2,600$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 2,290$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 2,088$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 2,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked T1 | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.05 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed T1 | 77c | 1,951$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.55 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6720…177cbacked T1 | 52c | 1,936$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked 100 Thieves | 6c | 1,785$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.11 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 1,773$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed T1 | 69c | 1,708$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.37 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves | 11c | 1,704$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed T1 | 80c | 1,659$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.72 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 1,649$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 1,627$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed T1 | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed 100 Thieves | 13c | 1,475$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.89 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed 100 Thieves | 5c | 1,311$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…d2ddbacked T1 | 59c | 1,300$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 1,296$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 1,160$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.48 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…c614backed 100 Thieves | 2c | 1,129$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves | 2c | 1,083$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5c…ff52backed 100 Thieves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…15e3backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,000$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…e979backed 100 Thieves | 6c | 874.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…f3c5backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 830$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…b849backed 100 Thieves | 22c | 764.18$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…8b36backed T1 | 62c | 599.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves | 11c | 590.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 572.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 200 | 35%70 W · 130 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed 100 Thieves | 11c | 566.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked 100 Thieves | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…51aabacked T1 | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…894abacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 368.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45a…d0b7backed 100 Thieves | 28c | 364.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 361.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 360.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…97fcbacked 100 Thieves | 12c | 355.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…f235backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 339.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…0319backed T1 | 62c | 325.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55de…d928backed T1 | 78c | 324.37$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 319.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 313.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 312.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac20…e154backed T1 | 78c | 300.82$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 297.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 294.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…daa4backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 291.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…6967backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 269.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…1263backed 100 Thieves | 7c | 267.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 255$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…4f40backed 100 Thieves | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed T1 | 78c | 221.8$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2b3ebacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 210.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked T1 | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed 100 Thieves | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…add8backed 100 Thieves | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 192.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed 100 Thieves | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…43dabacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 181.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…9b8fbacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked T1 | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 159.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6f…ed21backed T1 | 79c | 152.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked T1 | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked T1 | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked T1 | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked T1 | 67c | 148.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed 100 Thieves | 15c | 146.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…60bbbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 145.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b7…1a2fbacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…252ebacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 100 Thieves | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked 100 Thieves | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 133.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)T1 won
- LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.