TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd32f…ae42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST7054.3%38 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+71.6%+$435.34
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$106.56
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$102.12
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+62.8%+$226.77
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$685.54
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.24
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$75
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.32
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$450.29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$99.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+57.3%+$193.74
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$179.82
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$71.3
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.85
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.66
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$67.68
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$107.1
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.7
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$33.3
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$90.09
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$78.81
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$44.88
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.75
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$66.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.54
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.68
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$46.62
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$71.3
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$43.29
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$346.32
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$52.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$47.52
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$83.78
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.17
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$39.6
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.61
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$69.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$663.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Bilibili Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.