Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec25e41ac7ccfbf5f5bae4dd75618bd0c43e929a6dfd738385ed10b42ac1bb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 43c | 115,458$49,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,442.46 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 82,297$32,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,592.35 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 57c | 77,813$44,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,361.29 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 57c | 38,639$21,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,714.74 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 60c | 21,252$12,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,591.34 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 59c | 14,346$8,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,953.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 57c | 11,257$6,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.54 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 42c | 10,336$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340.92 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 68c | 10,269$7,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,257.11 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 10,169$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.1 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 43c | 9,999$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.71 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 9,316$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.54 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.91 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 57c | 7,944$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,415.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 7c | 7,777$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.8 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 43c | 6,849$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944.92 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 80c | 5,786$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.2 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.87 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 4,362$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.16 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 58c | 4,066$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 20c | 3,914$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes | 57c | 3,867$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.92 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 2c | 3,494$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…534ebacked Yes | 57c | 3,486$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 41c | 3,368$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.94 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 43c | 3,307$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…ce43backed Yes | 62c | 3,172$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 5c | 3,146$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 26c | 2,920$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.06 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…d980backed No | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…2858backed Yes | 58c | 2,271$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 72c | 2,012$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.74 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…f4fbbacked Yes | 58c | 1,999$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Yes | 62c | 1,920$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 42c | 1,919$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.98 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Yes | 57c | 1,919$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 41c | 1,725$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.36 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…4a7abacked Yes | 58c | 1,625$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 59c | 1,598$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.24 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 41c | 1,410$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.14 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.52 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…3050backed No | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…0c8abacked Yes | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…f4e4backed Yes | 63c | 1,332$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.9 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 58c | 1,148$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 42c | 1,060$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 38c | 999.47$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.05 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 58c | 889.89$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 58c | 862.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.17 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 58c | 801.72$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…8d49backed Yes | 57c | 750.05$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa326…4556backed Yes | 57c | 708.77$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 42c | 678.27$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.87 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…4b9fbacked Yes | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 58c | 646.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 58c | 646.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.55 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 58c | 635.69$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 57c | 606.79$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.92 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 58c | 603.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.45 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 42c | 599.96$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 57c | 598.64$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…b633backed Yes | 61c | 596.39$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 57c | 584.21$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 561.27$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 43c | 528$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 42c | 526.07$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 59c | 518.61$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9c…7a3bbacked Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes | 58c | 514.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79ebbacked Yes | 58c | 514.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 58c | 512.07$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 65c | 500$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…4ddbbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…caffbacked Yes | 57c | 478.26$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will Villarreal CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.