TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0b6…3eac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,403.97
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$440
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$470
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,637.97
Blues vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+82.9%+$831.75
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,133.58
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Senators vs. Blackhawksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,288
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,265Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,035
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,426
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$519.98
Blue Jackets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$655.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+63.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$499.8
Illinois vs. Washingtonbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
South Florida vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$918Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,782
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+170.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+300%+$1,741.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$563.26
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$359.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$589.99
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$659.99
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$470
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$360
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$373.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.