NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aef2ad077ae3ceeb962fe385157a5f23b3f53f56f4ccc8ae69347603db8bf61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Blues, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,049 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flyers | 54c | 86,951$46,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,997.46 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blues | 46c | 75,284$34,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,630.65 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Flyers | 54c | 24,650$13,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,339 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Blues | 47c | 10,040$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.8 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flyers | 53c | 9,974$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.78 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…892bbacked Blues | 47c | 9,497$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blues | 46c | 8,995$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.7 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…a52abacked Flyers | 55c | 7,400$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…b542backed Flyers | 53c | 6,211$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…75c2backed Blues | 47c | 6,198$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flyers | 54c | 6,130$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.27 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flyers | 54c | 6,024$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.99 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blues | 46c | 6,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.94 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Blues | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Blues | 48c | 4,784$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.73 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blues | 46c | 4,633$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.48 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Blues | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Flyers | 18c | 3,777$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.12 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blues | 45c | 3,717$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.78 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flyers | 41c | 3,658$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.19 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blues | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 63c | 3,316$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82b…eea8backed Blues | 46c | 2,951$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blues | 46c | 2,865$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.75 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 19c | 2,685$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.37 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Blues | 48c | 2,608$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Blues | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flyers | 54c | 2,390$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.22 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…ccd9backed Flyers | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Flyers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Flyers | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 54c | 2,000$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.84 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blues | 45c | 1,941$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.51 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Blues | 45c | 1,835$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Flyers | 55c | 1,835$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flyers | 54c | 1,782$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.44 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blues | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…183ebacked Flyers | 54c | 1,601$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blues | 52c | 1,555$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.9 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blues | 46c | 1,500$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…1371backed Flyers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blues | 46c | 1,467$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Blues | 74c | 1,363$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.08 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…f78ebacked Flyers | 54c | 1,350$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Flyers | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 40c | 1,294$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.36 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…9818backed Blues | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues | 45c | 1,151$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.62 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…53d0backed Blues | 46c | 1,105$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…624fbacked Flyers | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…1593backed Flyers | 55c | 1,087$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Blues | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fda…873fbacked Blues | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…da96backed Blues | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…1f99backed Blues | 46c | 1,043$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…0162backed Flyers | 54c | 1,037$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…5445backed Blues | 46c | 1,021$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…1ae6backed Flyers | 54c | 1,018$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blues | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Blues | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Blues | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Blues | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…3667backed Blues | 46c | 999.7$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce1…3a6abacked Flyers | 54c | 999.68$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…63b5backed Flyers | 54c | 981.2$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…be4ebacked Blues | 46c | 977.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flyers | 39c | 968.67$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.34 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…ff91backed Flyers | 54c | 962.68$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…0488backed Blues | 46c | 956.24$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Flyers | 22c | 916.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.92 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Flyers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blues | 68c | 887.64$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.76 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…cee3backed Blues | 46c | 860$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Flyers | 45c | 834.51$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.51 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blues | 45c | 775.53$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Flyers | 54c | 741.98$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.31 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6cedbacked Flyers | 55c | 730$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…c728backed Flyers | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Flyers | 40c | 662$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.94 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Blues | 46c | 640$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60db…fb1dbacked Flyers | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d2…00e0backed Blues | 46c | 630.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 49c | 622.53$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Flyers | 54c | 607.41$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.41 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…c50dbacked Flyers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…56ecbacked Flyers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…1700backed Flyers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…b98cbacked Flyers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…8b90backed Flyers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4313…38bbbacked Blues | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…11e9backed Flyers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…422fbacked Blues | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…fac8backed Flyers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…eedabacked Flyers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…5b2fbacked Flyers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…29f9backed Blues | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa059…4275backed Blues | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Flyersthis page
- Blues vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.