Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde6fcefd9a8cad8fd99ed020b38d51e84d6523147fcbeaf59b1490bacfa98fb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 64c | 23,992$15,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,637.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 38c | 13,376$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,082.91 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 4,880$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.5 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 67c | 3,880$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 35c | 3,711$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.23 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 2,973$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.94 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 20c | 2,150$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.16 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked Yes | 66c | 1,519$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 1,297$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.21 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 65c | 962.73$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 33c | 645.84$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.13 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 20c | 631.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 476$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694e…8d20backed Yes | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 36c | 363.21$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 305.37$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.74 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 35c | 191.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 63c | 179.88$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 63c | 158.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 149.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…d322backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 34c | 131$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 35c | 110.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 65c | 103.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…e268backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes | 66c | 75.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…cd69backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 67c | 59.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…829fbacked Yes | 65c | 55.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffce…c93cbacked Yes | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…7413backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0409…0da6backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…c3acbacked Yes | 78c | 39.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked Yes | 80c | 34.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 38c | 33.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…d7c1backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…0aeebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6742…ce78backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…825dbacked Yes | 67c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…5034backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…6344backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe71…b183backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will FC Lorient win on 2025-11-02?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.