TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7a8…e268

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+50.4%+$33.5
Hellenic Championship: Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos Gironbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Open de Moselle: Aleksandar Vukic vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$95
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Open de Moselle: Corentin Moutet vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$72
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+113.9%+$106.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Luca Van Asschebacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+133.9%+$114.5
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Jiangxi Open: Alycia Parks vs Anna Blinkovabacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Eudice Chong vs Suzan Lamensbacked Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Chloe Paquetbacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25.2%+$20.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State vs. Iowa Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+29%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.