TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed No58c19,762$11,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,494.0524657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes41c13,000$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,670250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No57c9,120$5,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,198.355738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No12c7,559$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.059149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…d74cbacked Yes43c7,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,990425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c5,911$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.151,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed No58c5,211$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.521060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No56c3,335$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.8616154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958e…f76abacked No31c3,261$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.73875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes70c2,063$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.7612050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes43c2,055$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.385538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c1,877$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.52,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes41c1,768$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.127945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed No63c1,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes61c1,309$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.366850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c1,207$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.5944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Yes45c1,129$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes45c1,114$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.2212950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.112454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Yes74c1,087$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes43c1,047$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.518957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No58c1,010$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.86839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9924939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No57c962.15$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes65c953$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.832843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes42c890.44$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.444955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yes42c824.71$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.331540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes67c807.95$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.337337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.678334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes43c565$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.752339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes65c550$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902638.5%10 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes47c546.7$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.19651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c11…e56dbacked Yes45c536.88$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No33c499.95$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.985028%14 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes41c482$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2822646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No58c476.19$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.198958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2510…621cbacked Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes41c463.41$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes75c452.92$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4524238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Yes42c430.95$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.951338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No25c408.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.224849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No20c393.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes36c385.03$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0313155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Yes43c373.03$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.034271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes74c363$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.382470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No56c354.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.79616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.514254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.53920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No69c329.38$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.271275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes43c323.26$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.262025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Yes48c311.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes43c288.46$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5612649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked Yes70c284.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No59c271.19$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16012565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed No37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes43c251.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed No12c249.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.012740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Yes57c246.78$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.783455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x013b…01cfbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…7b7bbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf614…689abacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x186b…641cbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2715357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes44c211.96$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.961338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes78c208.47$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1146264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d08…763ebacked No59c183.63$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x666f…d6a0backed No57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x658d…859fbacked Yes43c174.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.42650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f4…258dbacked Yes42c167$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick44cpaid+130.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda95…e997backed No37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked No33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6004…6ecabacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc12b…8f76backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes37c136.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.672245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No30c134$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd83…5df4backed Yes43c129.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c124.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No57c121.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.62626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Yes42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes45c119.27$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.057147.9%34 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82cb…6a34backed No58c117.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.071250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes44c116.27$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.273857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x834b…1fa7backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.64944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Yes44c113.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes42c108.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.199643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a59…a364backed No57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.