TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,061 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb240…1fe1backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No69c17,960$12,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,643.7324657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976c…907cbacked Yes34c11,531$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,910.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c5,052$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.082,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No73c5,035$3,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.3416154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No73c4,434$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No73c4,049$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.9412050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…e4c8backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes27c3,378$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.585538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes19c2,999$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes27c2,636$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,550$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes31c2,254$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes27c2,144$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56022551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes30c1,948$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5773321.2%7 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Yes30c1,510$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Yes26c1,067$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x712a…8ef9backed Yes29c1,029$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes28c904.32$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.21728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No72c833.15$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.285761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9d3…f492backed No74c812$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+83.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes4c757$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…89e9backed Yes26c705$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No68c673.84$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2943058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes5c670$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.520033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes32c619.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3667…75ffbacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No74c499.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628e…a488backed No75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes10c434.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33fa…681bbacked Yes12c400$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4960%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3600…606fbacked Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf25f…a9e9backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006642.4%28 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes30c350$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.510339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes17c340$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.112422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f4…d3e6backed Yes33c300.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7812540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e1a…15e0backed Yes34c295.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa3…71fdbacked Yes16c290$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…9ab4backed Yes29c248.79$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c91…2ae0backed No68c239.99$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed No74c235.91$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.348463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1923…7879backed Yes27c229.63$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No74c221.98$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.729958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes26c214.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8721…c2b1backed No74c210$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes32c201.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.01825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-55.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe478…610ebacked Yes8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No67c199.45$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1810260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a28…7630backed Yes31c193.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes26c191.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No74c187.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.886162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No75c164.29$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5738744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed No74c163.98$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd39b…8dc6backed Yes26c158$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes33c151.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.962055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Yes27c150.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…5473backed Yes29c138.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Yes33c136.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No75c134.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.19651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702b…cba7backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fdd…69ebbacked No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes27c131.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c0…681cbacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes27c119.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.193318.2%6 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f9…d858backed Yes28c110.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.07333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed Yes31c110$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46d0…b129backed Yes26c107$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+109.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb150…ac78backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+160.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fb8…450dbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd99c…ead4backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf69…aa05backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1252…da0bbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Yes26c96.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2248144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4e…6ccebacked Yes34c88.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd98b…58debacked Yes26c86.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fbb…0160backed No75c84.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.79366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2028556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4473…c215backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+170.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…07cbbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.