TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc82…c7c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.16
Will Everton FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$110.88
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$428.97
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$73.49
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$148.86
Will Victor Osimhen join Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City beat West Ham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$26.55
Will Tottenham beat Everton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
Will Manchester City win vs Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$400
Will Cody Gakpo be Euro 2024 top scorer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,139.99
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$523.48
Will France win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2024, EDT+77.1%+$903.58
Will Spain win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,580
Will Germany win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$325
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Finalbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$535.81
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.5
SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$22.39
Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$109.8
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$42
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.9
Will AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$724.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$122.36
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$42.64
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$670
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-65.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$139
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+60.5%+$18.14
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+157.3%+$110.09
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$287.35
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$102.6
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.5
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$76.9
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$110.49
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$30.41
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Atletico Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$79.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$112.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FIFA ban or suspend Israel in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
BNP Paribas Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$148
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+171%+$338.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$52.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wormhole airdrop in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2024, EST-100%-$13.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.