Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win vs Chelsea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b202dfb6396f0f6dfa2ad654bd0dc35efd4b5d8f3b266e26751fcfc180788b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 50c | 12,987$6,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.64 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…246bbacked Yes | 50c | 10,801$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 47c | 5,950$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.43 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 52c | 5,724$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.07 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked No | 46c | 2,387$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 48c | 2,081$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.34 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 75c | 1,963$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 52c | 1,620$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.24 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 46c | 1,563$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.33 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 46c | 1,527$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 50c | 1,482$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 48c | 1,361$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.82 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 48c | 1,269$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.23 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Yes | 52c | 1,233$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1724…fc81backed No | 50c | 1,156$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 54c | 1,138$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.56 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Yes | 51c | 1,036$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…4bc8backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 58c | 975.72$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.01 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…7f0abacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed No | 48c | 829.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 49c | 805.08$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.59 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 53c | 785.46$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.02 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…bffdbacked Yes | 54c | 785.38$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 61c | 692.28$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.43 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…36b0backed No | 49c | 625.22$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 46c | 621.72$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.07 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…4a44backed Yes | 54c | 620.22$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…1ce4backed Yes | 53c | 615.17$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked No | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 42c | 594.25$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.92 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…92dfbacked Yes | 53c | 592.79$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 65c | 584$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 49c | 550$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 54c | 533.61$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 78c | 471.37$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa946…9da9backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Yes | 57c | 461.62$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 53c | 418.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked No | 46c | 410.19$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9033…301abacked Yes | 52c | 400.09$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6b…f29dbacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes | 56c | 397$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 48c | 390.73$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.16 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 51c | 366.7$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81e…74a5backed Yes | 50c | 344.76$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…fbc8backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 51c | 272.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…d305backed Yes | 55c | 266.03$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…165cbacked No | 50c | 266$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 22c | 259.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…14a4backed Yes | 52c | 258$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Yes | 60c | 232$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…a11bbacked Yes | 52c | 228$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af0…2f0bbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…bd48backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…e428backed Yes | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f2…cfa0backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c3…ebc7backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73aa…d604backed Yes | 53c | 169.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 18c | 137.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…6153backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3934backed Yes | 54c | 122.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Yes | 70c | 121.51$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c55…a8b5backed No | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 72c | 104.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 51c | 100.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…1206backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…4d7dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…498dbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…b9babacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 51c | 87.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…36d5backed Yes | 50c | 87.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…344cbacked Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 20c | 78.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…2de6backed Yes | 54c | 75.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…3683backed No | 47c | 71.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win vs Chelsea?this page
- Will Chelsea win vs Manchester City?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.