Us Politics · resolved market
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x805d5d29303a29387e9b541f5c7405bcea69f8ef56137ce174356cb0e548d3ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,043,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,180,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,043,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes | 46c | 304,404$140,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,445.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 73c | 208,134$151,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,308.51 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 56c | 74,807$41,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,846.61 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 59c | 67,253$39,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,659.24 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 40c | 61,901$24,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,237.22 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 67c | 59,142$39,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,253.53 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Yes | 34c | 54,455$18,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,648.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 23c | 52,850$12,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,147.13 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 12c | 50,969$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.64 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 76c | 49,027$37,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,729.26 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 5c | 40,949$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.8 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…a867backed Yes | 40c | 40,453$16,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,312.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 54c | 39,945$21,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,348.42 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 58c | 38,584$22,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,092.04 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 62c | 33,916$21,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,766.38 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 58c | 32,761$19,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,704.07 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 72c | 31,000$22,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,673.99 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…747fbacked Yes | 14c | 30,306$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 61c | 27,173$16,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,497.57 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Yes | 19c | 25,987$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 40c | 24,986$9,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,922.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed Yes | 34c | 24,691$8,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,300.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 46c | 24,385$11,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,131.12 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 53c | 23,108$12,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,912.28 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 77c | 22,587$17,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,135.03 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 76c | 21,671$16,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.83 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 80c | 21,403$17,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.26 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 61c | 20,973$12,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,151.5 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…1754backed Yes | 47c | 20,745$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…c578backed Yes | 12c | 20,614$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 62c | 19,917$12,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,646.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked Yes | 15c | 19,659$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,858 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 14c | 19,299$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 44c | 18,495$8,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,139 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 45c | 18,011$8,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,085.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked Yes | 17c | 17,084$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 34c | 16,001$5,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.35 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 11c | 15,296$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.05 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…a1cdbacked Yes | 44c | 13,864$6,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,169.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 40c | 13,404$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 35c | 13,313$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.5 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed No | 76c | 13,243$10,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 73c | 12,689$9,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,247.67 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 65c | 12,299$8,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.61 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked No | 74c | 12,075$8,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Yes | 20c | 11,773$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.74 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…c244backed Yes | 27c | 11,596$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes | 20c | 11,585$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.32 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 11c | 11,443$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.53 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Yes | 15c | 11,034$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 62c | 11,000$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 13c | 10,516$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 54c | 10,376$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,584.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.23 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed No | 73c | 9,972$7,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.47 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…ffe6backed Yes | 9c | 9,633$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 25c | 9,631$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.14 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 70c | 9,618$6,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.96 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…5f7bbacked Yes | 22c | 9,500$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 15c | 9,487$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…d6adbacked Yes | 22c | 9,456$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed Yes | 12c | 9,273$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.51 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 79c | 9,011$7,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.69 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 3c | 9,000$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.02 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…6c34backed Yes | 20c | 8,790$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 27c | 8,733$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.73 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…d13cbacked No | 79c | 8,295$6,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…8f47backed Yes | 17c | 8,272$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.51 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Yes | 42c | 8,145$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…2edcbacked Yes | 12c | 7,920$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 10c | 7,655$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…2636backed Yes | 18c | 7,631$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 57c | 7,535$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.62 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed Yes | 8c | 7,260$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.71 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ff…c5ecbacked Yes | 33c | 6,934$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 13c | 6,934$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Yes | 30c | 6,728$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3ef2backed Yes | 18c | 6,699$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 11c | 6,600$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…a67ebacked Yes | 15c | 6,482$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 30c | 6,318$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.76 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…41c9backed Yes | 5c | 6,212$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338a…6356backed Yes | 15c | 6,148$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 54c | 6,000$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 12c | 5,880$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…7ad1backed Yes | 18c | 5,751$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…a5afbacked Yes | 28c | 5,664$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.8 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 54c | 5,662$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.93 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…6accbacked Yes | 67c | 5,646$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 16c | 5,508$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 72c | 5,495$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.12 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…b6a1backed Yes | 18c | 5,467$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.26 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1714…130ebacked Yes | 14c | 5,180$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 57c | 5,124$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.28 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 35c | 5,018$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.43 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,007$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.15 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed No | 63c | 5,000$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fec…4cafbacked Yes | 26c | 4,885$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed No | 63c | 4,799$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.54 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.