Premier League · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Final
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c76c5dcf7969b636d59d5e91a1d85d784038503fc3569af08f1d71b2bf155c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, Dortmund
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ea…cbf1backed Dortmund | 26c | 14,245$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.81 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…0c7ebacked Dortmund | 2c | 13,051$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…6820backed Real Madrid | 72c | 7,119$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…8fb5backed Real Madrid | 74c | 5,240$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…0b65backed Dortmund | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Real Madrid | 76c | 4,637$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.82 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed Real Madrid | 74c | 4,200$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Real Madrid | 73c | 3,676$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…ff04backed Real Madrid | 72c | 3,674$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Dortmund | 27c | 3,536$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8775backed Dortmund | 26c | 3,369$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Dortmund | 26c | 3,300$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…6f43backed Dortmund | 25c | 3,001$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Dortmund | 26c | 3,000$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked Dortmund | 26c | 2,800$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 2,374$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Real Madrid | 74c | 2,061$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf0…3b75backed Real Madrid | 75c | 1,867$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…1045backed Dortmund | 23c | 1,775$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…8957backed Dortmund | 34c | 1,434$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7f…bd2ebacked Real Madrid | 74c | 1,373$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…d863backed Dortmund | 26c | 1,350$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…db48backed Dortmund | 26c | 1,287$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734d…b810backed Real Madrid | 74c | 1,211$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Dortmund | 27c | 1,107$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Real Madrid | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…73acbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…d105backed Real Madrid | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 833$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.58 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…becdbacked Dortmund | 26c | 730.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…6ee9backed Real Madrid | 74c | 705.55$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…7b02backed Real Madrid | 74c | 675.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3f…2b67backed Real Madrid | 69c | 530.66$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Real Madrid | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Dortmund | 28c | 498.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8525backed Real Madrid | 75c | 306.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…cbc1backed Real Madrid | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5794…3eefbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365c…c805backed Real Madrid | 75c | 253.07$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Dortmund | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Dortmund | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Dortmund | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…f346backed Real Madrid | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…d75fbacked Dortmund | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Dortmund | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Real Madrid | 72c | 179.05$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…ed16backed Dortmund | 28c | 171.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…824dbacked Dortmund | 28c | 170.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Dortmund | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…1391backed Real Madrid | 74c | 156.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…ce63backed Real Madrid | 73c | 156.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…df5ebacked Dortmund | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Real Madrid | 74c | 152.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…55f4backed Dortmund | 29c | 149.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…a242backed Dortmund | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…f83cbacked Dortmund | 27c | 144.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…a40fbacked Dortmund | 30c | 137.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…c9ccbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be8…b851backed Real Madrid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…32c9backed Real Madrid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…7b68backed Real Madrid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…903dbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…e2fabacked Real Madrid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135e…9635backed Real Madrid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…759cbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb2…9b71backed Real Madrid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…d8e7backed Dortmund | 29c | 134.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Real Madrid | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…923dbacked Dortmund | 30c | 120.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked Real Madrid | 63c | 110.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1235…cff1backed Dortmund | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6953…bc71backed Real Madrid | 75c | 102.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f71…6e31backed Real Madrid | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…91ecbacked Dortmund | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…0116backed Real Madrid | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Real Madrid | 74c | 89.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…3094backed Dortmund | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…f9dabacked Dortmund | 77c | 84.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…681cbacked Real Madrid | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Real Madrid | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Dortmund | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4838…42fcbacked Dortmund | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea6…1ea4backed Dortmund | 27c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…5a1cbacked Dortmund | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Dortmund | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Real Madrid | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…d66bbacked Dortmund | 29c | 67.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…1487backed Real Madrid | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd908…9ea3backed Dortmund | 30c | 67.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…8595backed Dortmund | 29c | 62.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…6c86backed Real Madrid | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…c155backed Real Madrid | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…cee5backed Dortmund | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…daf6backed Real Madrid | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…1137backed Dortmund | 30c | 47.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa61…ca4cbacked Dortmund | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf690…ff18backed Real Madrid | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…af14backed Dortmund | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…6d44backed Dortmund | 29c | 42.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.