Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City beat West Ham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc83fcd841ad88792f3b3d8615479bbff9a86b0504f660b730791d55ae9e5a70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 25c | 14,043$3,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.2 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 73c | 7,425$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.05 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 29c | 5,100$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.16 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 28c | 4,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 4,455$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.02 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 74c | 4,312$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…9a8cbacked Yes | 72c | 4,074$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Yes | 72c | 2,981$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed No | 29c | 2,950$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.44 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 30c | 2,920$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.74 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 29c | 2,865$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.72 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…4bc8backed Yes | 71c | 2,669$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…8334backed Yes | 73c | 2,421$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b51…df04backed No | 30c | 2,421$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 28c | 1,702$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…ba60backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673a…60f9backed Yes | 72c | 1,397$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 72c | 1,388$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.41 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked No | 19c | 1,348$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 80c | 1,294$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…ced1backed Yes | 71c | 1,175$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…3e97backed No | 13c | 1,115$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 72c | 1,113$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.24 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed No | 20c | 1,110$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 29c | 1,041$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.16 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…14ecbacked Yes | 70c | 1,033$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 29c | 999.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 28c | 911.91$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.33 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…201cbacked No | 31c | 868.58$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 71c | 849.74$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5f…c909backed No | 30c | 756.46$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…865ebacked Yes | 72c | 648.82$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9664…f451backed Yes | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…4af5backed No | 32c | 616.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdac…54fbbacked No | 32c | 609.72$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 28c | 529.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1e…34dcbacked Yes | 72c | 517.06$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9164…12a6backed Yes | 72c | 507.05$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5193…c863backed No | 32c | 477.56$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6c…b408backed No | 32c | 474.72$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 71c | 470.34$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…3648backed No | 32c | 453.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…efedbacked Yes | 71c | 429.55$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…ea01backed Yes | 71c | 427.55$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9638…b168backed Yes | 71c | 412.59$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 72c | 400.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Yes | 71c | 400.52$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…caacbacked No | 32c | 370.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…b591backed Yes | 72c | 361.47$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 26c | 353.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 27c | 348.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…f774backed Yes | 71c | 338.08$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…abeabacked No | 30c | 336.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…96a4backed Yes | 71c | 334.34$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…21b2backed Yes | 71c | 328.34$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 71c | 320$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8cf9backed Yes | 71c | 310.79$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…c367backed Yes | 71c | 308.73$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed Yes | 72c | 298.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…55c7backed Yes | 71c | 295.85$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes | 71c | 291.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…3b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 276.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609e…89c4backed Yes | 72c | 274.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…df1cbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…53c3backed No | 29c | 267.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 70c | 261.37$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…e25dbacked Yes | 71c | 255.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…ffd7backed Yes | 72c | 243.92$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…4425backed No | 30c | 236.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 70c | 236.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Yes | 72c | 208.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed No | 28c | 207.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…9cc5backed No | 30c | 200.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…a9ebbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 71c | 184$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5030…0ecabacked No | 32c | 172.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…dd16backed Yes | 71c | 160.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 72c | 152.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…e71abacked Yes | 72c | 149.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae15…7883backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…e521backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…2043backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…c0edbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…0b45backed Yes | 73c | 130.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 13c | 122.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…0f54backed No | 30c | 105.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…1831backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Yes | 71c | 98.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efc…a858backed No | 30c | 97.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875a…eb03backed Yes | 72c | 97.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…f734backed No | 28c | 96.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City beat West Ham?this page
- Will West Ham beat Manchester City?No won
- Will West Ham vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.