TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x028f…c9cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$67
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+257.1%+$72
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+66.7%+$24
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+117.4%+$24.84
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$34.81
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+69.5%+$61.11
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$145
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+33.3%+$87.5
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$43
Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Liverpool beat Wolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$26
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Will AC Milan advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$404.95
Will AC Milan beat Dinamo Zagreb?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Real Madrid beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$27.22
Will Bayern Munich beat Feyenoord?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Will Real Madrid beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$24.11
Will Real Madrid beat VfB Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$28.5
Will Juventus beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+81.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$38.5
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$460
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+85.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+109.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$197.01
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+43.2%+$452.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+382.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+382.2%+$91.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.2%+$32.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.