Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3573e0dab40fd7b6bec34f8b81ec16e766d536455ef535380fe4b02a206d047a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 70c | 26,314$18,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,927.88 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…6c9cbacked Yes | 30c | 15,416$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 71c | 9,974$7,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.31 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 30c | 8,259$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.63 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 66c | 6,985$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.21 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 29c | 1,842$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.18 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 25c | 1,592$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.53 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…a2aabacked Yes | 30c | 1,450$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 74c | 1,235$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…c2cbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,227$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,220$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Yes | 32c | 1,200$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes | 37c | 1,082$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 34c | 1,030$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.26 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…d98bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,024$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 65c | 990.48$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.66 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc586…35d7backed Yes | 35c | 935.2$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 33c | 906.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 841.45$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.11 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 30c | 836.36$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No | 70c | 715.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Yes | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 70c | 680$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 30c | 669.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.77 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 11c | 600$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 33c | 536.35$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c24…c861backed Yes | 30c | 463.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2c…3007backed Yes | 32c | 448.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 34c | 441.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 35c | 434.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 58c | 426.67$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…054ebacked Yes | 30c | 403.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…c162backed Yes | 28c | 356.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 71c | 331$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 31c | 323.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Yes | 8c | 315.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…f48bbacked Yes | 33c | 304.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 33c | 303.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 262$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 30c | 261.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…058fbacked Yes | 32c | 235.42$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 29c | 232.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…5921backed Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 24c | 215.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…08a5backed Yes | 10c | 200.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9622…01efbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…8b83backed Yes | 18c | 197.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 34c | 177.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…c560backed Yes | 23c | 174.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 29c | 167$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bcfabacked Yes | 30c | 164.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 30c | 162.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…89a1backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 67c | 149.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 68c | 146.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 30c | 136.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 67c | 136$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…806ebacked Yes | 34c | 135.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a32…2151backed Yes | 38c | 130.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 30c | 126.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…d683backed Yes | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…308cbacked Yes | 20c | 113.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c44…1b21backed Yes | 33c | 112.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 36c | 112.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…5dcfbacked Yes | 17c | 111.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…3100backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…9f23backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…73bdbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 69c | 99.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 35c | 91.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 24c | 85.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 21c | 73.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…49e4backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…03b6backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Yes | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…46dbbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…f9ddbacked Yes | 31c | 63.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…caa4backed Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.