TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0066…49e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+97.4%+$14.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+59.6%+$11.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.3
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+65.3%+$7.9
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$7.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$15.69
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.17
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+79.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$35.3
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.63
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+164.5%+$31.1
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+35.6%+$4.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+84.3%+$18.3
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$18.92
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+1,752.5%+$1,002.76
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.85
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$24.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.12
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$11.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$41.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.