Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb691fd92c13c3b2ae3d9e36b491108ad13f14f6f02646892efdcca1d20aedd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $719,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $735,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $719,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 42c | 61,094$25,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,372.77 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 58c | 42,910$24,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,788.07 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 40,182$20,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,459.94 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 58c | 34,556$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 28,596$15,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,786.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 25,306$14,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,656.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 42c | 21,001$8,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,192.87 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 43c | 21,000$9,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,970 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…ff7fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 43c | 17,022$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,702.66 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 43c | 17,000$7,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,689.94 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 58c | 16,277$9,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762.29 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 60c | 15,337$9,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,114.66 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 57c | 10,935$6,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.06 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 52c | 10,870$5,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,694.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked No | 16c | 10,509$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,780.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 51c | 10,322$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.71 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Yes | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 42c | 7,987$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.46 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 42c | 7,730$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,483.58 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 7,333$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 7,315$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 26c | 7,060$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,252.24 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 49c | 7,000$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 42c | 6,800$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed No | 44c | 6,025$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.45 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 52c | 5,905$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.69 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Yes | 80c | 5,709$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 58c | 5,593$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.1 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 6c | 5,549$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…38bebacked Yes | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 42c | 5,144$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.76 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes | 31c | 4,724$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 44c | 4,506$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.51 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 56c | 4,358$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.93 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…a652backed Yes | 71c | 4,007$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.98 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…679bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,507$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 42c | 3,498$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.84 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 57c | 3,332$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.04 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 65c | 3,303$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 56c | 3,269$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.37 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.94 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.91 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 57c | 2,814$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed No | 67c | 2,765$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 44c | 2,701$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.56 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 41c | 2,653$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.59 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 42c | 2,421$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.59 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes | 33c | 2,210$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.3 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 37c | 2,094$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.42 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 58c | 2,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,012$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bc…84febacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 44c | 1,992$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.52 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,982$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 71c | 1,961$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.74 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 43c | 1,934$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.38 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 45c | 1,871$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.31 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 72c | 1,783$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.36 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,753$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.81 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 1,727$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.02 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 42c | 1,700$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.99 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Yes | 58c | 1,644$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 42c | 1,636$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.88 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c1…c739backed Yes | 52c | 1,609$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 48c | 1,572$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,534$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 57c | 1,446$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.15 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 58c | 1,432$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.66 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…e5d7backed Yes | 35c | 1,413$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 43c | 1,300$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 16c | 1,294$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.33 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…5952backed Yes | 39c | 1,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed Yes | 55c | 1,271$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 16c | 1,254$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.59 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 31c | 1,200$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…e4bdbacked No | 51c | 1,195$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed Yes | 39c | 1,154$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 57c | 1,128$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Yes | 59c | 1,109$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 38c | 1,108$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.