Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x912d84e94618e28271e30ea0eb46908148dfbec8956f0ec7c13a8c7f3d3843e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,141,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,807,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,141,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,879 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 61c | 470,114$288,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,359.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 378,227$150,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,389.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 63c | 320,000$200,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,909.98 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 39c | 276,488$107,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,830.16 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 189,451$118,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,665.86 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 162,486$102,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,479.71 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…aa1ebacked Yes | 62c | 161,624$100,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,162.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 38c | 151,915$57,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,345.96 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 38c | 150,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,999.93 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 37c | 111,417$41,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,224.13 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 41c | 109,174$44,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,374.12 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 38c | 101,411$38,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,469.5 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 37c | 96,151$35,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,541.03 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 89,927$33,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,233.7 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 61c | 86,310$52,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,660.93 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 63c | 78,802$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,802.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 38c | 71,695$27,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,228 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 69,664$25,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,990.63 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 63,000$23,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,550.76 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc675…2ff3backed No | 38c | 61,308$23,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,296.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 37c | 52,906$19,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,410.23 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 38c | 50,140$19,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,053.19 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,499.92 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 39c | 49,963$19,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,485.47 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 37,814$13,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,991.14 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 33,627$21,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,307.55 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 37c | 32,851$12,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,162.94 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 37c | 31,702$11,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,829.82 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…29cabacked No | 37c | 30,000$11,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,039.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 51c | 29,026$14,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,714.76 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 64c | 26,526$16,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,649.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 38c | 25,663$9,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,751.77 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes | 61c | 25,409$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,909.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 37c | 24,300$9,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,071.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 60c | 24,091$14,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,636.35 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Yes | 63c | 23,147$14,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,564.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 22,485$8,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,321.19 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 39c | 21,340$8,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,322.52 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 38c | 21,000$8,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,079.97 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 37c | 21,000$7,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.96 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…5b24backed Yes | 68c | 20,861$14,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,649.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 37c | 20,269$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.51 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 38c | 18,380$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,053.54 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 15c | 17,165$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.3 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 38c | 16,937$6,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,435.99 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 37c | 16,179$6,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,007.89 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 45c | 15,420$6,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,509.33 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 61c | 15,000$9,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,910.18 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.98 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 49c | 14,780$7,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,242.03 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 37c | 14,454$5,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.34 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 14,074$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.04 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 40c | 13,495$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.84 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…68ffbacked No | 38c | 13,273$4,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 36c | 13,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 50c | 12,550$6,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.45 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 62c | 12,428$7,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.95 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…916bbacked No | 40c | 12,420$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…292ebacked No | 37c | 12,050$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb7…3b83backed Yes | 61c | 11,590$7,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked No | 44c | 11,250$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 49c | 11,000$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.99 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 38c | 10,971$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.94 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 38c | 10,809$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 37c | 10,082$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.09 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.97 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.94 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 63c | 9,374$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.44 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 39c | 9,347$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.33 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 39c | 9,323$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.85 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 39c | 8,002$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 63c | 7,855$4,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.49 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 37c | 7,758$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.46 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 63c | 7,571$4,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.09 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 59c | 7,500$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…168abacked Yes | 63c | 7,483$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 63c | 7,437$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.04 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 37c | 7,290$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 39c | 7,261$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.83 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 7,251$4,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.93 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked No | 38c | 7,200$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 64c | 7,081$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.15 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 38c | 7,039$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.95 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 63c | 7,017$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 59c | 6,821$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.64 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 63c | 6,602$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Yes | 62c | 6,374$3,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 63c | 6,300$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.6 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 63c | 6,277$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Yes | 61c | 6,183$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 62c | 6,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 39c | 5,938$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.3 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Yes | 60c | 5,832$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…c1e3backed Yes | 70c | 5,375$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.