TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$619,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$680,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $619,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes13c55,375$7,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,074.516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes16c17,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.9724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes17c11,765$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9911838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes17c8,658$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.861,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes17c5,188$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.891,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa829…bc90backed Yes16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4825…5ec5backed Yes17c4,799$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes15c4,600$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69010737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56b6…b196backed Yes19c4,043$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes16c4,026$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.832832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1924…90bbbacked Yes19c3,444$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6699…6ee8backed Yes19c3,359$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x597c…b747backed Yes17c3,170$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c3,050$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde12…a508backed Yes19c2,511$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f3…3784backed Yes19c2,500$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes17c2,477$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.125551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e9…16c2backed Yes19c2,470$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7856…558abacked Yes19c2,325$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a67…ed0cbacked Yes19c2,292$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fbb…42c5backed Yes19c2,281$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb455…76b1backed Yes19c2,281$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b09…a47dbacked Yes19c2,274$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x038f…0834backed Yes19c2,269$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes17c2,255$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6826229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb950…de2cbacked Yes19c2,169$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5601…61c1backed Yes19c2,126$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac3…11d2backed Yes19c2,102$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2909…ba8bbacked Yes17c2,100$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes17c2,044$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.121,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes17c2,035$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.951,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf1b…b963backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1afb…bc76backed Yes19c1,971$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab9…d322backed Yes19c1,950$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce7…f8a1backed Yes19c1,896$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9586…554abacked Yes19c1,766$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87cf…351ebacked Yes19c1,760$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes16c1,734$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.377557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c0f…c804backed Yes19c1,647$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2946…1e6cbacked Yes19c1,640$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a7…9a6abacked Yes19c1,616$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b2b…493fbacked Yes19c1,584$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d68…04d4backed Yes19c1,512$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…37fbbacked Yes19c1,468$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…1efcbacked Yes19c1,468$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes7c1,437$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.442324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b4f…ca03backed Yes19c1,364$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc38…f752backed Yes19c1,293$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…4035backed Yes19c1,272$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd69…1f32backed Yes19c1,217$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad90…a8d0backed Yes19c1,208$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003823.7%9 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe313…7e65backed Yes19c1,154$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes17c1,072$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.83727%10 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60af…1972backed Yes19c1,048$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1707844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes11c999.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8421…7a9dbacked Yes19c996.14$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Yes17c994.12$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1696744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes17c948$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.161,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes15c944.54$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.732,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344c…b1febacked Yes19c938$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579e…48f4backed Yes19c917$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes3c901.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4317745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2142…1e8abacked Yes19c893$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes16c868.46$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9514147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes18c849.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa43a…4056backed Yes17c800$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0110…8f19backed Yes19c790$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd47f…6bdcbacked Yes19c705$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes16c700$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1929427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes11c674.88$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.021020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e4…e4e3backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes2c641.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0870%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ead…3183backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a9a…c2bfbacked Yes17c611.84$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-81.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked Yes17c579.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8f…3f00backed Yes19c568$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Yes17c552.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9929343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes13c550.34$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9530739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x49c3…eccfbacked Yes17c509.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda38…3cc7backed Yes9c456.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes17c418.77$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1910455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes18c416.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cd…8b45backed Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes17c375.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x916c…669abacked Yes19c367.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.