TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x916c…669a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST8733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$56.31
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$172
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$229
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$33
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$140
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$110
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+229.8%+$114.9
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+68.2%+$102.32
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$63
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.62
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.64
Grizzlies vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$64.12
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$39.55
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+112.8%+$32.7
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$67.52
Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.4
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.9%+$59.53
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+99.1%+$148.64
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+204%+$63.24
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$87.42
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$154
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$217
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+62.5%+$83.13
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$140.77
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.