Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d004aa6efe38365e639af980987e807bbb333870bef10077ac8a38150ad59e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 15,115$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.45 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Spirit | 69c | 8,801$6,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.21 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…218cbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 7,406$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 6,861$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.76 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 6,713$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.88 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 6,025$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.62 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 6,006$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.58 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 5,626$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 4,771$3,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.09 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 3,818$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.8 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 3,476$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.24 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,239$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 2,994$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.62 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 2,853$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 2,813$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,600$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 2,449$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.32 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 2,382$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.86 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 2,231$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,144$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 2,058$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,813$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.92 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,629$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.9 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,566$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.15 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,505$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 1,453$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00dd…7faabacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,415$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,367$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 1,292$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.78 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 76c | 1,252$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.85 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,221$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,125$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.67 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Spirit | 80c | 1,118$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.29 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…b9fcbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,064$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.06 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 980$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Spirit | 73c | 917.62$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a1…9337backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 843.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 824.66$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 798.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Team Spirit | 76c | 790.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…3dabbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 787.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…f2a3backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 726$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 640$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 622.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 77c | 566.57$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.57 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…c4fabacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 540$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Team Spirit | 73c | 534.15$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Team Spirit | 73c | 518.34$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 512.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…b40bbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 505.85$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Spirit | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Team Spirit | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 499.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…0c52backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 457.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…faddbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 425.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 423.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…8484backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 397.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 390$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 385$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 382.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 360$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…b467backed Team Spirit | 72c | 333.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Spirit | 72c | 321$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 312.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…3157backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 310$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 299.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Team Spirit | 73c | 299.79$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 298.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 288.98$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Team Spirit | 73c | 287.69$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 275$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Spirit | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Team Spirit | 75c | 268.35$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 263.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 259.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 252.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 231$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Spirit | 75c | 229.27$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…68e3backed Team Spirit | 70c | 214.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Team Spirit | 10c | 208.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 205.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 201.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Spirit | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Spirit | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Spirit | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 198.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.