TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0719…c6b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.67
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$46
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$43.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$34.03
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.63
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.85
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$90.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$39.73
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs OlyBet SB (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Cbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$37.43
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.75
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+669.2%+$78.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.85
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.12
Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.88
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$73.89
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$46.6
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40.55
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$34.39
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.58
Dota 2: OG vs Team Tidebound - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+185.7%+$39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Peru Rejects (BO3)backed Peru Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.27
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Peru Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked Peru Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.94
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+205.3%+$26.9
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+733.3%+$79.2
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$89.61
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-72.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Coleman Wongbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Phoenix: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Gironbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.