Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x186c80d28105ba050d51a171188ef6eaaaabfab7649ca10801b727b443e192f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amaru Gamingof Amaru Gaming, Yakutou Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Yakutou Brothers | 76c | 33,656$25,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,575.7 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Amaru Gaming | 32c | 8,001$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,424.32 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Amaru Gaming | 33c | 5,242$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.46 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 4,393$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.9 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Amaru Gaming | 57c | 3,847$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.16 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 69c | 3,760$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.94 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Yakutou Brothers | 55c | 3,666$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 3,284$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.38 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Yakutou Brothers | 3c | 2,900$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 2c | 2,600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 2,506$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.33 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Amaru Gaming | 32c | 2,474$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.83 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 1,700$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Amaru Gaming | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yakutou Brothers | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Amaru Gaming | 48c | 1,247$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.44 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Amaru Gaming | 49c | 1,223$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.75 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 1,211$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.47 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Amaru Gaming | 48c | 1,178$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.81 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Amaru Gaming | 27c | 1,139$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.45 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Amaru Gaming | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Amaru Gaming | 27c | 1,001$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yakutou Brothers | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Amaru Gaming | 45c | 991.32$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Amaru Gaming | 25c | 942.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.1 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Amaru Gaming | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Amaru Gaming | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Amaru Gaming | 21c | 799.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Amaru Gaming | 27c | 788.89$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.89 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…d549backed Amaru Gaming | 24c | 669.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Amaru Gaming | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yakutou Brothers | 73c | 590.77$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.26 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 70c | 571.47$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Yakutou Brothers | 75c | 541.33$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.44 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…faddbacked Yakutou Brothers | 54c | 425.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 371.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.11 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 68c | 330.77$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 318.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.16 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Yakutou Brothers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 289.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed Amaru Gaming | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Amaru Gaming | 22c | 252.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…e43ebacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Amaru Gaming | 8c | 238.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Amaru Gaming | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 231.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.65 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Amaru Gaming | 6c | 200.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.54 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Amaru Gaming | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…7fa0backed Yakutou Brothers | 17c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Amaru Gaming | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Yakutou Brothers | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Yakutou Brothers | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Amaru Gaming | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…f676backed Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Amaru Gaming | 23c | 191.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Amaru Gaming | 11c | 162$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Amaru Gaming | 19c | 154.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Yakutou Brothers | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Yakutou Brothers | 75c | 134.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 122$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Amaru Gaming | 67c | 119.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 78c | 115.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 59c | 101.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yakutou Brothers | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yakutou Brothers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Amaru Gaming | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Amaru Gaming | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked Amaru Gaming | 47c | 99.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 96.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Yakutou Brothers | 78c | 92.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Yakutou Brothers | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Amaru Gaming | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +608%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Yakutou Brothers | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Yakutou Brothers | 75c | 73.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yakutou Brothers | 80c | 73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Amaru Gaming | 21c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…0f24backed Amaru Gaming | 16c | 68.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +350.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…dd7ebacked Amaru Gaming | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…6394backed Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Amaru Gaming | 54c | 59.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Yakutou Brothers | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…5a2fbacked Amaru Gaming | 24c | 58.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 55.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -12.0wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 53.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Yakutou Brothers | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Amaru Gaming | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked Amaru Gaming | 21c | 50.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Amaru Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Yakutou Brothers | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yakutou Brothers | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 1 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
- Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Yakutou Brothers - Game 2 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.