Middle East · resolved market
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe55f1c68e8ff508f8f54e5ab6f20e2769da900e5c7499b917547498bce4f40c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,834,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,590,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,834,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 3c | 125,738$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.47 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 1c | 58,041$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.18 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 55,789$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.67 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 2c | 40,384$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.73 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…9874backed Yes | 2c | 35,071$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…e488backed Yes | 4c | 30,445$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…8a4dbacked Yes | 5c | 28,410$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.63 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 4c | 25,000$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.49 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 22,097$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.73 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 112 | 8.9%10 W · 102 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…5728backed Yes | 4c | 17,213$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…6b00backed Yes | 1c | 16,383$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…7632backed Yes | 5c | 16,148$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 15,052$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.63 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 14,952$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.53 | 143 | 0.7%1 W · 142 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 4c | 14,605$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.77 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 3c | 14,406$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.77 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 4c | 12,529$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…a2dcbacked Yes | 6c | 11,225$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…b114backed Yes | 3c | 10,658$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…6497backed Yes | 6c | 10,157$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…da4abacked Yes | 2c | 9,741$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb93e…b8fdbacked Yes | 5c | 9,194$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 9,014$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.36 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…f233backed Yes | 4c | 8,407$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.54 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…eed3backed Yes | 6c | 8,150$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcb…63efbacked Yes | 7c | 8,123$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…3b3bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,403$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 4c | 7,072$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.43 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…d8b8backed Yes | 6c | 7,030$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.46 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 6,986$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 6,917$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…aff7backed Yes | 7c | 6,669$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…07edbacked Yes | 3c | 6,631$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.08 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5a…ef75backed Yes | 2c | 6,559$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 0c | 6,382$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 2c | 6,008$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…e2b8backed Yes | 2c | 5,890$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 5,637$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…113fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,556$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,526$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe729…7300backed Yes | 4c | 5,447$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…aa63backed Yes | 5c | 5,353$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 5,312$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.23 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3905backed Yes | 1c | 5,258$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 5,258$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 3c | 5,249$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 5,152$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,100$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e6…8197backed Yes | 2c | 5,070$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…61a7backed Yes | 3c | 4,975$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…8a69backed Yes | 4c | 4,930$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.07 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…13d6backed Yes | 2c | 4,912$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 4c | 4,901$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…f073backed Yes | 5c | 4,882$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 4,759$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 199 | 5%10 W · 189 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 1c | 4,531$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 72 | 0%0 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…8e70backed Yes | 2c | 4,470$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,444$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 5c | 4,334$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 5c | 4,228$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…2d86backed Yes | 3c | 4,175$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…8edbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,971$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d1…12a4backed Yes | 4c | 3,970$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.29 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,920$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…4163backed Yes | 3c | 3,856$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…b63abacked Yes | 5c | 3,743$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…ba75backed Yes | 4c | 3,652$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Yes | 4c | 3,629$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…c4c0backed Yes | 5c | 3,620$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ae…85d1backed Yes | 5c | 3,616$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…b464backed Yes | 2c | 3,580$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,555$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,447$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 75 | 13.3%10 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…e790backed Yes | 3c | 3,435$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…9802backed Yes | 8c | 3,301$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.44 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…0200backed Yes | 6c | 3,280$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked Yes | 6c | 3,275$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,080$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 78 | 20.5%16 W · 62 L | -11.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…41c3backed Yes | 7c | 3,060$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…05bfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…8a62backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…e7b8backed Yes | 3c | 2,875$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f9…9158backed Yes | 1c | 2,870$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…c98bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,866$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80a…a38ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,838$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…cacdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,800$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 2c | 2,701$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 1c | 2,681$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 4c | 2,638$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…119bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,632$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…8865backed Yes | 2c | 2,574$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,570$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,514$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…092fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…6f0bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,468$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.