TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfac3…5728

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$862
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,540.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.7
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.88
France vs. England: Team to Take First Cornerbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.16
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+455%+$5,445.32
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$376
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.3
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,259.53
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
Enner Valencia: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.49
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$549
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$733.33
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$660
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,053
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$23.52
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$810.2
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$494.89
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$176.4
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$161.7
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$225.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$48.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 17?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,781Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,191.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$584Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$197.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,977.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Crime 101" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,504
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.