TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yakult Brothersof REKONIX, Yakult Brothers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$702,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$789,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d20…a165backed REKONIX50c163,039$81,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,256.359733%32 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yakult Brothers50c132,341$66,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,170.6912259.8%73 W · 49 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed REKONIX49c55,440$27,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,049.2537745.9%173 W · 204 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX56c53,861$29,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,945.461,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked REKONIX56c32,785$18,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,324.9617948.6%87 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers54c25,000$13,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,475.447646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Yakult Brothers43c18,400$7,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,422.7810540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers49c16,425$8,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,383.9571143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Yakult Brothers48c15,384$7,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,932.261553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Yakult Brothers52c13,982$7,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,716.7324246.7%113 W · 129 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Yakult Brothers50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00012348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Yakult Brothers65c10,216$6,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.0551049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers50c8,820$4,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,428.81,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Yakult Brothers71c8,338$5,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.4730667.3%206 W · 100 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1de…21f5backed Yakult Brothers53c8,000$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,783.9930452.3%159 W · 145 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Yakult Brothers54c7,220$3,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,290.4850347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked REKONIX46c6,536$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00039343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a56…10f5backed Yakult Brothers63c6,399$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.9318950.8%96 W · 93 L+10.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…e305backed REKONIX48c6,236$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Yakult Brothers44c6,099$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.479954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed Yakult Brothers50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+65.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd690…47febacked Yakult Brothers45c5,901$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.62742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a452backed Yakult Brothers42c5,550$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2193100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+123.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Yakult Brothers46c5,495$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.2616746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed REKONIX45c5,429$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.1221155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX51c5,195$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.1988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Yakult Brothers49c5,088$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,607.9731936.7%117 W · 202 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Yakult Brothers47c4,755$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.3826540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked REKONIX46c4,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00053451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad42…6031backed REKONIX47c4,240$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yakult Brothers43c4,000$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.043246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Yakult Brothers50c3,991$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.4813943.9%61 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Yakult Brothers47c3,975$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.4969644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Yakult Brothers51c3,892$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.278757.5%50 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ffc…3dd9backed Yakult Brothers16c3,710$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.651741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…694fbacked Yakult Brothers43c3,700$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1094057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7822…9348backed Yakult Brothers44c3,700$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…4dedbacked REKONIX48c3,664$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.3719853%105 W · 93 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb69…cfd1backed REKONIX42c3,592$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50030356.4%171 W · 132 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked REKONIX52c3,415$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.1623435.9%84 W · 150 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…cb64backed REKONIX23c3,401$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.113348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yakult Brothers48c3,210$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.7466545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Yakult Brothers72c3,147$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.8480256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX36c3,016$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.2479341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa05e…4394backed REKONIX46c3,000$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3771163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked REKONIX50c2,997$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.9615050%75 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked REKONIX45c2,850$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.284037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked REKONIX33c2,800$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.8779859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakult Brothers51c2,740$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.221,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked REKONIX34c2,673$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.8889938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yakult Brothers48c2,563$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.810050%50 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yakult Brothers39c2,517$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.1435737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed REKONIX55c2,509$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38429352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63bc…92c5backed REKONIX40c2,500$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.511045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed REKONIX30c2,455$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.857770.1%54 W · 23 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+8.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed REKONIX33c2,403$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.8618844.7%84 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed REKONIX44c2,283$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.5150353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x266e…90f3backed REKONIX37c2,241$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.479968.7%68 W · 31 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x948a…d1a4backed Yakult Brothers55c2,003$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.324255%133 W · 109 L+14.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa3…ff46backed Yakult Brothers49c1,988$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.81333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed REKONIX57c1,826$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.062576%19 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yakult Brothers43c1,779$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.3269132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55db…a37dbacked REKONIX38c1,768$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.96770.1%47 W · 20 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed REKONIX37c1,710$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6296440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Yakult Brothers58c1,700$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.7212263.1%77 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a77…e59dbacked REKONIX33c1,689$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.5522031.8%70 W · 150 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Yakult Brothers60c1,677$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.4219251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a013backed Yakult Brothers50c1,622$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8176342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfac3…5728backed REKONIX51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81630%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xabc3…f82dbacked Yakult Brothers66c1,553$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.345373.6%39 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX41c1,464$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.232,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yakult Brothers48c1,434$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.4511649.1%57 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked REKONIX52c1,409$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.5527060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yakult Brothers40c1,386$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.271,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Yakult Brothers50c1,369$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.5216055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377b…0446backed Yakult Brothers42c1,338$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.131040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX43c1,313$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.61,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Yakult Brothers26c1,308$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.0543860.5%265 W · 173 L+44.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed Yakult Brothers44c1,294$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.224226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2931…7b81backed Yakult Brothers78c1,283$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9118660.8%113 W · 73 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39a7…bcb7backed Yakult Brothers53c1,273$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3910949.5%54 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3167…32a2backed REKONIX47c1,263$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012151.2%62 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed REKONIX40c1,233$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.0347748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed REKONIX46c1,205$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.2653764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Yakult Brothers50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60057449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed REKONIX52c1,192$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.6358744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yakult Brothers43c1,175$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.125549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked REKONIX47c1,173$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.4729160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yakult Brothers26c1,169$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.293546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked Yakult Brothers52c1,144$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.9131055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed REKONIX50c1,140$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Yakult Brothers45c1,115$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b4…4e24backed REKONIX40c1,110$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.146764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Yakult Brothers53c1,100$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51828044.3%124 W · 156 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d02…0ff3backed Yakult Brothers61c1,075$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.367970.9%56 W · 23 L+11.1wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+17.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed REKONIX39c1,074$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.34930.6%15 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX50c1,008$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.51,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed REKONIX48c1,005$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.7555751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Yakult Brothers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54021146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c5…7205backed Yakult Brothers43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.