Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95dace468a8f8a7676927efe00e2dbb27fb5d8b9598873f63e889e5993f061ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof REKONIX, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $610,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $769,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed REKONIX | 55c | 50,633$27,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,957.05 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…265cbacked Yakult Brothers | 62c | 48,371$29,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,881.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 51c | 46,679$23,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,927.91 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 40,420$21,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,946.55 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked REKONIX | 40c | 35,089$14,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,931.23 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed REKONIX | 38c | 28,165$10,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,462.23 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…4394backed REKONIX | 56c | 15,656$8,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 15,021$6,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,565.74 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yakult Brothers | 38c | 14,539$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.67 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed REKONIX | 56c | 13,158$7,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,782.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 11,718$5,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.56 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…e305backed REKONIX | 33c | 10,598$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,129.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Yakult Brothers | 74c | 10,500$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,770 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…7992backed Yakult Brothers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked REKONIX | 58c | 10,000$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.81 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked REKONIX | 59c | 8,373$4,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.6 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 45c | 8,132$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.52 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 8,000$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.8 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…5610backed REKONIX | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 6,087$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.58 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed REKONIX | 53c | 5,510$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.18 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 5,172$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.91 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 5,050$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…3c09backed REKONIX | 73c | 4,513$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 4,222$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed REKONIX | 42c | 4,021$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.83 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…06d6backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 3,800$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 3,345$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.51 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 3,232$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.66 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 3,155$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.51 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed REKONIX | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 2,963$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 2,903$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.6 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 2,824$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakult Brothers | 37c | 2,551$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.51 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yakult Brothers | 40c | 2,522$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.35 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 2,503$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yakult Brothers | 54c | 2,352$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.68 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yakult Brothers | 57c | 2,348$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 2,206$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.87 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed REKONIX | 48c | 2,171$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.93 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Yakult Brothers | 26c | 2,145$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.32 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 2,061$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.7 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…5e95backed REKONIX | 56c | 2,000$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yakult Brothers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yakult Brothers | 1c | 1,950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 1,850$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 39c | 1,803$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.61 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed REKONIX | 75c | 1,798$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.99 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 1,780$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.43 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b4…4e24backed REKONIX | 70c | 1,759$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.89 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Yakult Brothers | 57c | 1,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.08 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,366$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.18 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yakult Brothers | 71c | 1,350$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed REKONIX | 67c | 1,310$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.59 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yakult Brothers | 55c | 1,203$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.25 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Yakult Brothers | 44c | 1,188$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 1,181$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yakult Brothers | 43c | 1,178$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.5 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed REKONIX | 67c | 1,177$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.28 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…0ff3backed REKONIX | 54c | 1,159$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.42 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Yakult Brothers | 49c | 1,115$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 1,109$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.77 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 1,095$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 1,076$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Yakult Brothers | 70c | 1,072$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.4 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 1,068$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.97 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Yakult Brothers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked REKONIX | 57c | 926.7$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.6 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Yakult Brothers | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed REKONIX | 53c | 872.08$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed REKONIX | 63c | 871.67$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.85 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 866$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 836.63$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed REKONIX | 39c | 823.28$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.2 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yakult Brothers | 42c | 779.66$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Yakult Brothers | 25c | 768.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed REKONIX | 64c | 736.37$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 702.55$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.97 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked REKONIX | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed REKONIX | 37c | 700$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REKONIX | 56c | 699.47$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.21 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 658.68$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.48 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Yakult Brothers | 77c | 651.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 57c | 649.85$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.23 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed REKONIX | 72c | 643$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.24 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Yakult Brothers | 41c | 620.69$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yakult Brothers | 47c | 615.15$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Yakult Brothers | 69c | 613$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.87 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Yakult Brothers | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Yakult Brothers | 31c | 575.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 575.56$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Yakult Brothers | 48c | 568$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 523.66$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.71 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Yakult Brothers | 46c | 517.35$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked REKONIX | 52c | 510.52$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.05 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 505.67$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked REKONIX | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Game Handicap: YB (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)REKONIX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.