CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe669a9ef68c768ffe82b7cbb23f374ae0bd8c2cd63f6138d65b200e60e0ae29f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 49c | 46,306$22,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,610.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked magic | 50c | 36,466$18,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,233.25 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked NIP | 51c | 35,728$18,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,097.4 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 52c | 19,321$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed magic | 48c | 14,803$7,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,697.52 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed magic | 50c | 13,919$6,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,950.83 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked NIP | 50c | 11,173$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.53 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked NIP | 52c | 10,572$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.72 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed NIP | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked magic | 59c | 9,772$5,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.15 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…9348backed NIP | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked NIP | 58c | 7,775$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,526.02 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed magic | 60c | 7,640$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.12 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed NIP | 51c | 7,500$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked magic | 51c | 7,121$3,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.44 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed NIP | 50c | 6,667$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.33 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NIP | 40c | 5,835$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.11 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed NIP | 45c | 5,500$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed NIP | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked NIP | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 64c | 4,369$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 49c | 4,202$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.3 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed magic | 50c | 4,035$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed NIP | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked magic | 68c | 3,603$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.21 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed NIP | 52c | 3,231$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed magic | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NIP | 51c | 2,800$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.99 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed magic | 49c | 2,752$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.59 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed magic | 48c | 2,501$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.58 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed NIP | 32c | 2,281$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.9 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…1101backed NIP | 52c | 2,100$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed magic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed NIP | 49c | 1,991$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 51c | 1,931$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.69 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed NIP | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.98 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.92 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed NIP | 36c | 1,531$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.6 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed magic | 42c | 1,525$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.18 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed magic | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…719dbacked magic | 50c | 1,482$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.15 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed magic | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed magic | 51c | 1,396$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.93 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed NIP | 51c | 1,332$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.44 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked NIP | 50c | 1,292$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.61 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…76e4backed magic | 39c | 1,200$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed magic | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed NIP | 51c | 1,126$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.55 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 70c | 1,105$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed magic | 49c | 1,064$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.52 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced1…280ebacked NIP | 50c | 1,032$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked NIP | 52c | 1,016$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.95 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked NIP | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…9b05backed magic | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked NIP | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed magic | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed NIP | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked NIP | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed magic | 56c | 986.04$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.94 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked NIP | 52c | 975$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked NIP | 52c | 938.67$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked NIP | 54c | 845.73$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.4 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…1659backed NIP | 50c | 840$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 30c | 796.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 51c | 788.86$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.32 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed magic | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed NIP | 52c | 749.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed NIP | 51c | 746.58$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.89 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed NIP | 52c | 703.83$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed NIP | 17c | 686.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed magic | 47c | 660.19$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.9 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked magic | 47c | 643.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.12 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked magic | 48c | 608.05$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.19 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed magic | 51c | 587.01$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.63 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed NIP | 36c | 556.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed magic | 62c | 556.23$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked NIP | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed NIP | 50c | 533.32$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked NIP | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked NIP | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed NIP | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed NIP | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked NIP | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed magic | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked magic | 47c | 499.95$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.97 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed NIP | 52c | 497.33$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed NIP | 53c | 481.13$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…e7a4backed NIP | 53c | 460$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…779fbacked NIP | 52c | 449$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed NIP | 31c | 445.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 69 | 15.9%11 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked magic | 49c | 440.37$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.59 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed NIP | 52c | 439.16$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 30c | 437.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed NIP | 38c | 433.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.02 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…cdf0backed NIP | 51c | 418.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed magic | 48c | 405$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked magic | 49c | 392.75$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.3 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed NIP | 54c | 389.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed magic | 67c | 388.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.