CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x751cedb49cbd866628b07fe2526908ff020f4d115e76c750090b08256d7c8d68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked magic | 53c | 6,695$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.56 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed NIP | 54c | 5,535$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.73 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked magic | 69c | 5,202$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.62 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked NIP | 47c | 4,243$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked magic | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic | 53c | 1,341$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.99 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed magic | 56c | 1,255$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.2 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed NIP | 50c | 1,160$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.14 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked NIP | 45c | 1,105$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP | 34c | 1,095$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.61 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked magic | 66c | 1,084$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked NIP | 30c | 899.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.92 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed magic | 62c | 833.95$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.41 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 66c | 802.16$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.86 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP | 46c | 790.54$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed magic | 58c | 765.21$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.58 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 33c | 763.47$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.09 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked magic | 53c | 759.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.43 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed NIP | 41c | 718$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 44c | 696.77$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.58 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838f…a741backed NIP | 50c | 646.3$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked magic | 48c | 523.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.25 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed NIP | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed NIP | 40c | 449.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked NIP | 48c | 413$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed magic | 67c | 400$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed magic | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed magic | 60c | 320.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed magic | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked magic | 61c | 297.6$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed magic | 65c | 293.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked NIP | 42c | 279.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked magic | 56c | 279.7$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed magic | 56c | 271.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 410 | 61%250 W · 160 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed magic | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed magic | 78c | 256.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed magic | 75c | 235.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed NIP | 38c | 234.74$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 22c | 230.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed magic | 74c | 230$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 498 | 41.8%208 W · 290 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…8b66backed NIP | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 54c | 226.75$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.27 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed magic | 50c | 224.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed magic | 65c | 200.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 270 | 56.3%152 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed magic | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed magic | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6575…c2c7backed magic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NIP | 21c | 180.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked NIP | 33c | 176.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed NIP | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked magic | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked magic | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed magic | 67c | 123.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed magic | 63c | 110.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked NIP | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked magic | 63c | 107.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NIP | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed magic | 57c | 102.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed magic | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 357 | 39.2%140 W · 217 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NIP | 37c | 99.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed magic | 60c | 97.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…c422backed magic | 64c | 90.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked magic | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked magic | 62c | 82.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NIP | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked magic | 60c | 75.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 32c | 72.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed magic | 61c | 72.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed magic | 46c | 72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed magic | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed magic | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NIP | 45c | 66.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked magic | 75c | 66.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NIP | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked NIP | 45c | 62.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c2…b366backed magic | 77c | 60.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked magic | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked magic | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed magic | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed NIP | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed magic | 70c | 56.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked magic | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed magic | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked NIP | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4829backed magic | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed magic | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked NIP | 27c | 39.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 521 | 44.7%233 W · 288 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NIP | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked magic | 54c | 34.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed NIP | 50c | 34.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 414 | 39.1%162 W · 252 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…8ca5backed magic | 47c | 32.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed NIP | 42c | 30.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed NIP | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed magic | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed NIP | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked magic | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…5cabbacked magic | 61c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked magic | 69c | 23.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…7b12backed magic | 63c | 19.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.