CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x987a1aec0803c563f6a9d76e0a38a2d43df91e783527449e2d0b431798aebd6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NIP | 50c | 11,358$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729.58 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed magic | 65c | 10,171$6,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.15 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed magic | 48c | 6,166$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.49 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked magic | 48c | 5,807$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.39 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed magic | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked NIP | 53c | 4,876$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.34 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked magic | 54c | 3,660$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.87 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked NIP | 24c | 3,652$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.33 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed NIP | 55c | 3,120$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.27 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…1b93backed NIP | 17c | 3,014$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked NIP | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NIP | 33c | 2,233$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.94 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed NIP | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 152 | 51.3%78 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP | 47c | 1,826$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.74 | 604 | 34.1%206 W · 398 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…e6a6backed NIP | 58c | 1,681$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked magic | 49c | 1,612$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.77 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked NIP | 32c | 1,597$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.3 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked magic | 43c | 1,506$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.58 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed magic | 46c | 1,191$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.26 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed magic | 51c | 1,168$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.77 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked magic | 38c | 1,047$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.73 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NIP | 54c | 917.42$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.41 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed magic | 47c | 905.32$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed NIP | 48c | 894.87$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.75 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed NIP | 52c | 883.73$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.68 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked magic | 39c | 777.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.32 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked magic | 49c | 754.13$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.75 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed magic | 44c | 751.6$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 47c | 738.88$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.88 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed magic | 48c | 647.08$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed magic | 32c | 619.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.91 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 54c | 619.52$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.19 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed magic | 68c | 560.19$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed magic | 49c | 542.04$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.39 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed magic | 42c | 508$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked NIP | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked NIP | 16c | 445.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 278 | 38.1%106 W · 172 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed NIP | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked NIP | 21c | 352.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 62c | 344.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.68 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP | 60c | 318.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed magic | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed NIP | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…121bbacked NIP | 55c | 299.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed magic | 35c | 277.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.23 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed NIP | 58c | 252.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked NIP | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 301 | 23.3%70 W · 231 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5366…73aabacked NIP | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed NIP | 12c | 243.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed magic | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed NIP | 41c | 206.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 549 | 38.4%211 W · 338 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed NIP | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked magic | 44c | 198.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked NIP | 53c | 187.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked magic | 51c | 185.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked NIP | 58c | 178.26$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed magic | 69c | 177$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30a…fcd8backed NIP | 70c | 168.21$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NIP | 10c | 161.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed NIP | 49c | 161.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 508 | 46.9%238 W · 270 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…c725backed magic | 51c | 161.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked magic | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 40c | 153.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed NIP | 56c | 152.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed NIP | 38c | 151.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked NIP | 68c | 140.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed NIP | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 22c | 131.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NIP | 52c | 121$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed magic | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 38c | 115.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked NIP | 19c | 107.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed NIP | 26c | 107.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed magic | 32c | 105.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked NIP | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed magic | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 426 | 31.5%134 W · 292 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed magic | 46c | 97.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NIP | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked NIP | 37c | 83.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NIP | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 56c | 69.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked magic | 39c | 68.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed magic | 43c | 68.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed NIP | 56c | 64.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed magic | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NIP | 52c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed magic | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 684 | 53.8%368 W · 316 L | -22.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked NIP | 46c | 58.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed magic | 70c | 56.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…1e07backed NIP | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed magic | 35c | 52.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed NIP | 61c | 50.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NIP | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NIP | 40c | 49.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed magic | 58c | 48.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed NIP | 54c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked NIP | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed NIP | 58c | 39.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…9d99backed magic | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked magic | 53c | 38.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.