TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5366…73aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6669.7%46 W · 20 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+392.6%+$39.85
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$27.4
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$4.45
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.49
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$47.1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$21.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29.7
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+185.7%+$19.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25.1
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+62.9%+$19.3
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$829.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+68.1%+$24.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$14.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$65.49
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Spread: Atletico Madrid (-2.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.78
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.34
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Marta Kostyuk vs. Jasmine Paolini: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbertbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Filsbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$80.6
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$660
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+190.5%+$241.01
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+26.6%+$14.7
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+100%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$108.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$18
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$114.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.