Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ca7588f072fe99268edbeec8529f809eace36cfacc309d5945c27b2219177d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,067,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,339,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,067,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,093 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac44…fbd7backed Yes | 78c | 1,015,342$795,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795,466.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 78c | 364,297$284,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284,151.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 23c | 269,998$62,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207,898.12 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 77c | 237,547$182,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,696.97 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Yes | 77c | 214,531$165,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,400 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 21c | 172,529$36,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136,297.57 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 22c | 128,182$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,981.81 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 22c | 125,010$27,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,507.8 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 77c | 122,878$94,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,672.81 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 22c | 112,535$24,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,777.26 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 79c | 100,000$79,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…1449backed No | 23c | 95,522$21,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,551.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 23c | 89,193$20,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,033 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 22c | 87,720$19,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,421.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 22c | 82,630$18,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,451.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 23c | 81,351$18,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,000.84 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 22c | 61,425$13,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,911.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 22c | 59,998$13,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,831.78 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 21c | 58,389$12,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,127.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 21c | 56,669$12,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,491.61 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 22c | 56,341$12,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,945.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 77c | 53,416$41,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,130.33 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 23c | 52,000$11,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,039.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 22c | 51,600$11,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,189.89 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…6a0cbacked No | 23c | 50,901$11,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,374.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 79c | 50,112$39,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,545.49 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 22c | 40,960$9,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,948.8 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 77c | 40,954$31,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,728.7 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 23c | 38,000$8,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,378 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 36,716$8,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,139.48 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked No | 24c | 34,500$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 22c | 33,970$7,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,496.6 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 23c | 33,224$7,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,582.61 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 22c | 32,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,375 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes | 77c | 30,000$23,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.5wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 23c | 26,677$6,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,541.29 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 23c | 25,987$5,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,091.09 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Yes | 76c | 25,848$19,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,644.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 77c | 25,347$19,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,623.93 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 23c | 25,000$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,250 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 78c | 25,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,499.96 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed No | 18c | 23,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,759.59 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 78c | 22,222$17,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,333.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 22c | 20,207$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,688.65 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 10c | 20,002$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,974.97 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 22c | 16,187$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,625.81 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 77c | 16,078$12,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,416.17 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 22c | 15,279$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,917.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes | 77c | 13,117$10,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,101 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 22c | 12,888$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,991.91 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…fb65backed Yes | 78c | 12,165$9,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,440.03 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 21c | 12,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,480 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 78c | 11,900$9,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,281.99 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 22c | 11,392$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,885.76 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 8c | 11,050$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,131.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 23c | 11,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.99 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 22c | 10,600$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,268 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 22c | 10,526$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,210.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…118cbacked Yes | 78c | 10,006$7,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,804.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…f400backed Yes | 0c | 9,989$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 22c | 9,818$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,658.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…4be2backed No | 23c | 9,176$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,065.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 23c | 9,143$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 22c | 9,037$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.14 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 79c | 8,413$6,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,645.89 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 79c | 8,357$6,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,593.21 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…c91ebacked Yes | 76c | 7,672$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 78c | 7,555$5,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892.71 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 8c | 7,514$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,938.18 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 23c | 7,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 24c | 7,405$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.64 | 263 | 19.8%52 W · 211 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 78c | 7,121$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,554.57 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Yes | 77c | 6,504$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 23c | 6,450$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 22c | 6,336$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.36 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 14c | 6,246$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.97 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 78c | 6,073$4,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,736.64 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 23c | 6,024$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 23c | 6,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 77c | 5,846$4,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.21 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 24c | 5,671$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.83 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 24c | 5,607$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Yes | 77c | 5,500$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,235 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 77c | 5,330$4,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,104.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…0ebcbacked No | 22c | 5,168$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 77c | 5,098$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.46 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 78c | 5,088$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.59 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…4ac0backed Yes | 79c | 5,063$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Yes | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 23c | 4,984$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.37 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 77c | 4,952$3,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,813.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…20f6backed Yes | 79c | 4,800$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 27c | 4,545$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.63 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 23c | 4,200$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked No | 24c | 4,146$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 8c | 4,114$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.71 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 77c | 4,070$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Yes | 79c | 4,051$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?this page
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.