TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd1ab…e3a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$72.24
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$222.56
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$52.68
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.61
LoL: Deer Gaming vs 4 SWINES & A BUM (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Deer Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+26.6%+$14.7
LoL: La BOMBAS vs Verdant (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked La BOMBAS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$112.32
LoL: A One Man Army Esports Prime vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Lille Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$76.06
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$470.03
LoL: ⁠Ethereal Enigmas vs Meavedron (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked ⁠Ethereal Enigmas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$107.44
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.58
LoL: The Secret Club Esport vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked The Secret Club Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$135.03
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25.1%+$215.61
LoL: French Flair vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.85
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$355.39
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55.9
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+132.6%+$61.9
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$43.61
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$20.41
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50.35
Counter-Strike: FURIA fe vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagebacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$11
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120.14
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Passion UA (BO3) - Ace North American Masters Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$100.36
Counter-Strike: NIP vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$528.71
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+127.3%+$101.92
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$210.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$549.71
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$652.42
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$290.26
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$267.81
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,016Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+132.6%+$3,998.12
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,126.15
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.65
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$155.45
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$710.08
Will PAOK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,300
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$93.6
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$353.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$446.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$249.89
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$694.94
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$192.28
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,928Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,514.86
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$825.67
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$218.44
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$683.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$687.58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$179.9
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,527.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,387Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+316.7%+$7,559.28
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$3,816.4
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.