TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c66,467$40,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,243.533,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No45c56,006$25,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,202.675135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c43,372$24,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,697.9484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No47c38,400$18,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0482065%13 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes54c27,350$14,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,581.091172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No47c22,550$10,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,670.265532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No46c22,140$10,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,184.45639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes56c20,707$11,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,111.215259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Yes53c20,175$10,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,482.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No50c15,300$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,650728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Yes56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6003100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No48c14,115$6,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7083452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…a392backed Yes55c13,897$7,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,200.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No42c12,500$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.981553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes50c12,316$6,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,15844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes51c12,172$6,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,964.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No44c11,111$4,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.822339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No46c7,656$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.915947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c7,600$4,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,49633349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No48c7,044$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.5520050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c6,780$3,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.4991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3502556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes50c4,500$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2504037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes55c4,301$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.0219934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes55c4,080$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.85846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Yes51c3,765$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No46c3,570$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.382347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked No46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No44c2,980$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.22825%7 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.181145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No28c2,862$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.2952243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No25c2,301$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.1978344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes55c2,002$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.7733055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Yes51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.71520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64521925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No47c1,404$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes55c1,387$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.369056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes56c1,374$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.828660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes55c1,175$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7633847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes55c977.41$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.9631849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No42c937.33$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes58c864.84$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2342844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes53c834.69$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.512157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes73c799.41$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.154955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No50c731.99$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3661450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No51c705$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.552958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No52c681.74$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes56c675$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2974634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No48c641$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.7713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes53c600$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.756558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No43c585.74$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.872920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No51c550$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.57040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed No47c541.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.115242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25513327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No50c492$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24611153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No50c473$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Yes56c432.68$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.382152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007067.1%47 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19219546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885026%13 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c328.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes49c298.04$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67ea…6d0fbacked No51c236.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes50c232.74$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.373444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes57c224.56$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.565549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes62c222$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3615376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes80c216.5$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.592,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e3…84bfbacked Yes50c200.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed No50c199.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes58c189$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+48.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No49c180.47$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.434647.8%22 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed No46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes54c152.17$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.59142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No49c149.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.758847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No24c134$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.144822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes57c130$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.92740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No50c113.23$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6211843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No24c109$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.432941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8a…4b6cbacked No47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6994…eed0backed No47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.77862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+61.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503850%19 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507850%39 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64fc…dfc2backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes54c89.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2412258.2%71 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.