Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Malmö FF win on 2026-01-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28868bdb58338ae19b5ccabae76d4beaf0a624d64f0bc15a718051773a8bf699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 5,809$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.47 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 78c | 5,014$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.03 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 3,050$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 22c | 2,196$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.12 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,812$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.59 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 19c | 1,250$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…a116backed No | 76c | 1,213$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Yes | 23c | 1,213$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 959.25$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 660.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 626.43$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 23c | 600$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…c7a6backed Yes | 19c | 577.74$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 2c | 510$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 502$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 77c | 461.2$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 444$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 24c | 388.38$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e4…5632backed Yes | 21c | 360.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 8c | 185.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 24c | 150.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 70c | 127.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 75c | 97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 24c | 60.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…435fbacked Yes | 20c | 60.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…20c3backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 75c | 43.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…b7cdbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 74c | 26.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 74c | 20.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malmö FF win on 2026-01-22?this page
- Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-01-22?Yes won
- Will Malmö FF vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.