TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c18,022$9,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,688.372,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No35c14,277$4,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,316.0940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No62c4,688$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.6196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c4,515$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.331,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes79c4,471$3,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,532.9822373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c4,059$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.7268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c2,240$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.0998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb72…c3c6backed No67c1,581$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…29ffbacked Yes33c1,574$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No16c1,487$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.6929862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes34c1,468$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.114546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No67c1,014$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No42c954.71$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.644524.4%11 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c753.94$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.833951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Yes42c710.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No68c698.06$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.964971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No67c677.96$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.734355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No11c642.55$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.8746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes48c559.51$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No68c554$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.288058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No64c348.87$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes33c344.03$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.534445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No67c337.86$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.45959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No66c320.82$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0810038%38 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Yes33c318.18$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes34c312$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.083828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd22…e478backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1059576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c299.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9926046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No48c275.5$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2611772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes63c272.6$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.3693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Yes80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No68c237.5$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes37c224.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6428931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes73c205.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7914845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No46c194$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.914347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5329…e2f3backed Yes47c191.04$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.761070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…3909backed No68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533a…6566backed No68c177$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.64650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fce…dcb4backed No68c172$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.04366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd8…ec8dbacked No68c169$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c18…5e7cbacked No68c166$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed No32c164.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.11683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc12…69d8backed No68c162$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.84366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aea…e33ebacked No68c157$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc03…89ccbacked No68c153$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc67…3020backed No68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfe…cf7dbacked No68c146$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5094…8514backed No68c140$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3736…b729backed No68c136$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…f285backed No68c131$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.923100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a86…f5a8backed No68c127$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4bc…9937backed No68c121$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.37347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43e2…d13abacked Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8d…daf1backed No68c117$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0f…56e1backed No68c112$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57f…5c69backed No68c108$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked No14c106.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.421978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+105.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked No11c106.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.611776.5%13 W · 4 L+6.0wins+0.35per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes33c105.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.135836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c100.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Yes34c93.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.65147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-75.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No66c84.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes52c76.72$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No42c76.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4522743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Yes33c72.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes33c72.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.883745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes34c67.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes33c65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No68c63.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.183458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No55c62.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.122560%15 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaad…60f8backed Yes33c60.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes33c57.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.075839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No63c54.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.312560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed No42c52.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.591770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+99%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No59c52.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5331958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.57439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No45c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.26070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…a9f6backed Yes34c47.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf4…1a2ebacked Yes25c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8523353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No67c38.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5716251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.522766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No69c35.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1717529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No73c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.637462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.