Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04574a64fbb62736caaa7653ba1dc13bf5c739dc7b2b69b01c8be19431676be1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 75c | 18,153$13,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,538.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 13,584$3,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.11 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 13,051$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.98 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 4,690$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.7 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 1c | 4,287$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 4,276$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.28 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 9c | 3,029$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.23 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 75c | 2,897$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.28 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,715$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.8 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…d143backed Yes | 26c | 1,785$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 1,303$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 4c | 972.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 861.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6848…b7ecbacked No | 75c | 746.67$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 25c | 636$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Yes | 4c | 500.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 73c | 439.73$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 400$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 25c | 347$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 24c | 333.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 73c | 259.52$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…b6f4backed Yes | 6c | 256.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 234.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 28c | 212.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 74c | 211.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 74c | 210.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 6c | 188.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 10c | 123$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 27c | 79.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…c215backed Yes | 19c | 63.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes | 27c | 47.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Yes | 27c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 75c | 38.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 34.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 76c | 29.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…46b8backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…6575backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed No | 73c | 19.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…a23cbacked No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…b8ddbacked No | 74c | 13.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.