Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34baca0159e3ba7c04377d4a90d67770ebf6c77313e4cfc7b72571a8819e0d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 76c | 9,360$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.36 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 21c | 9,067$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.69 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 22c | 5,816$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 4,666$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.2 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 18c | 2,969$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.42 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 77c | 2,245$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.74 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 24c | 1,244$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed No | 22c | 1,216$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 76c | 1,060$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.29 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 77c | 780$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 722$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 77c | 640.31$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 22c | 600$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 23c | 599.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 24c | 499.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 79c | 405.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 25c | 373$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 21c | 297$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 21c | 255.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Yes | 77c | 178.57$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 9c | 168$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 76c | 151.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 25c | 95.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 24c | 83.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 24c | 59.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Yes | 76c | 50.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Yes | 77c | 24.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…3843backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -7.6wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…f2a3backed Yes | 77c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 76c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 76c | 16.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.