CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7b89cc55079a739a8a16f525e0598d074e33d59b80a2ebda1b7e318d2246ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof Phantom, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed los kogutos | 48c | 2,970$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.23 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 26c | 1,674$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked los kogutos | 74c | 1,016$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Phantom | 61c | 402.36$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Phantom | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…3293backed Phantom | 52c | 278$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed los kogutos | 49c | 241.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Phantom | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…6e0fbacked Phantom | 52c | 205.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Phantom | 53c | 199.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed Phantom | 52c | 198.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 26c | 174.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed los kogutos | 39c | 113.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed Phantom | 52c | 107.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed los kogutos | 42c | 83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18b…b3edbacked los kogutos | 50c | 58.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed los kogutos | 48c | 49.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked los kogutos | 50c | 49.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Phantom | 50c | 48.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed los kogutos | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed los kogutos | 52c | 44.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked los kogutos | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Phantom | 49c | 31.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359e…9376backed Phantom | 52c | 30.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed los kogutos | 46c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Phantom | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…9087backed los kogutos | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: LK (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)los kogutos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.