TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d3c…3293

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,677Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.8%+$1,221.73
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,071Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+54.5%+$1,129.73
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$107.13
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs DMG Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.2
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$43.36
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Groupbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$41.62
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+203%+$507.86
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,148.52
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$229
LoL: GnG Amazigh vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagebacked GnG Amazigh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$111.08
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$41.36
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$52.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Play-Inbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: MIBR fe vs R2 Esports Club - Map 1 Winnerbacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$15.21
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$120.05
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+162.8%+$149.77
Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs ODDIK (+1.5)backed ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$154
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$113
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$144.56
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$173.2
Counter-Strike: home vs Washington (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Bbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$267.93
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$68.2
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.5%+$138.83
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$310.94
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69.5%+$291.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$465.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+68.6%+$137.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zakharova vs. Grabher: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$222
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF vs. Odense BK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+47.1%+$20.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$216.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.