Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Vermont Catamounts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90a89ce029ca9a9b5a4cfa6c1e845f0a90639b3251ce83e0b5e30ec8c8815c65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermont Catamountsof New Hampshire Wildcats, Vermont Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6756…8edcbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 22c | 1,386$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 16c | 1,374$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 10c | 1,286$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3c…3293backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 8c | 1,160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 5c | 679.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vermont Catamounts | 78c | 667.81$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 7c | 267.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 21c | 260.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Vermont Catamounts | 78c | 218.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…a481backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 11c | 176.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 21c | 130.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Vermont Catamountsthis page
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 137.5Under won
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.