TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1da8…a481

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-34.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$23.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$165.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Leicester City FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Will Fulham FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$68.92
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.5%+$13.92
Will Derby County FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.02
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.78
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+86.2%+$22.03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$59.61
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25.66
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52.71
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chile Open, Qualification: Andrea Pellegrino vs Daniel Galanbacked Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.08
Mexican Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Elias Ymerbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$134.7
Metepec: Alexis Galarneau vs Cannon Kingsleybacked Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+70.2%+$7.72
Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lille: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Clement Chidekhbacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+37%+$49.07
Les Sables d'Olonne: Alina Korneeva vs Lola Radivojevicbacked Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+48.7%+$58.51
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Alexandra Ealabacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$129.19
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$96.63
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.9%+$22.04
Transylvania Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Open Sud de France: Titouan Droguet vs Jan Choinskibacked Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Open Sud de France: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+36.1%+$9.23
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltertbacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$118.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick69cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.97
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+135.5%+$24.21
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.83
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.5%+$12.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Vermont Catamountsbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Missouri Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$35.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+153.9%+$20.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.