TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Jelena Ostapenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bejlekof Bejlek, Ostapenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Bejlek66c13,535$8,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,648.1711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ostapenko19c8,555$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.548,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bejlek52c6,804$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,267.462,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Ostapenko51c6,320$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,223.210443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Ostapenko43c6,066$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.22650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bejlek49c5,900$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.2625428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Ostapenko62c5,506$3,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Ostapenko38c5,314$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Bejlek56c5,100$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.1819134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Bejlek50c3,995$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.489545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Bejlek73c3,449$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.2880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed72…b8b0backed Ostapenko39c3,305$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3007332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Ostapenko51c3,002$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.9437540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ce…d5f9backed Bejlek43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Bejlek70c2,867$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.0724438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bejlek52c2,089$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.922,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Ostapenko53c2,048$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.1418237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Ostapenko51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.996350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bejlek49c1,731$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.8121338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Ostapenko49c1,623$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Ostapenko61c1,475$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90020844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Ostapenko46c1,279$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.9730530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bejlek59c1,133$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.411,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Ostapenko48c1,051$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc4…c01ebacked Ostapenko52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5461060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…751ebacked Bejlek48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5461040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Ostapenko8c1,047$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.62933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+167.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Bejlek48c1,031$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.1319846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Ostapenko26c1,026$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.329654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7e0…d457backed Ostapenko49c1,022$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Ostapenko49c1,019$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.171,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Ostapenko50c1,006$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Bejlek49c982$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.821,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ostapenko50c932.97$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.481,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ostapenko41c855.52$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.753,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ostapenko45c819.7$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.116,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ostapenko34c794.06$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.727,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bejlek51c793.68$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.597,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Ostapenko31c791.25$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.542,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Bejlek49c763.35$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.2816340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Bejlek49c738$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.3848552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Ostapenko36c707$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Ostapenko52c701.73$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.635951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Ostapenko3c630.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Bejlek50c600$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30110547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Ostapenko60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf334…0606backed Ostapenko26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564214.3%6 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Bejlek51c493.15$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1537339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Ostapenko52c492.23$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.968040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Bejlek54c464.49$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4926158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Ostapenko53c452.83$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24013652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd2…8414backed Bejlek48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e50…1efebacked Ostapenko52c450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bejlek50c441.72$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.8676140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Ostapenko47c426.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Ostapenko19c417.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Bejlek45c376.3$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.318663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Ostapenko29c344.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Bejlek57c338.91$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.541,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Bejlek49c336$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3620043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Ostapenko49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d7b…3a0dbacked Bejlek50c300.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.441957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Bejlek47c300$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Ostapenko52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15629636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Ostapenko49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5744…9093backed Ostapenko44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06af…11cbbacked Ostapenko41c279.02$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.712334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4b1…7701backed Ostapenko53c264.31$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Bejlek59c260.39$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.296,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Bejlek79c250$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bejlek47c232.25$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.934,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ad…e93cbacked Bejlek50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Ostapenko33c222.57$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Ostapenko9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209761.9%60 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Bejlek47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.627733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Ostapenko49c218.1$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1073348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0980…19acbacked Bejlek51c217$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e15…e980backed Bejlek49c217$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd681…2f45backed Bejlek48c217$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd047…f77abacked Bejlek51c214$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac2…b800backed Ostapenko52c214$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8f…4f29backed Ostapenko49c213$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa437…e4acbacked Ostapenko51c213$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6632…48c6backed Ostapenko52c212$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…4fd0backed Ostapenko49c212$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f6…d119backed Ostapenko51c212$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Bejlek50c211.38$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5712147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5522…c77dbacked Ostapenko49c211$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Ostapenko60c210$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1267248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8712…a16bbacked Ostapenko49c210$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed9d…fa13backed Bejlek51c209$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa94a…5d9bbacked Bejlek48c209$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…de68backed Bejlek49c208$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b7…a200backed Bejlek51c206$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8808…ed71backed Ostapenko52c203$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f1…7ef2backed Bejlek48c203$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…f234backed Bejlek48c202$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eec…43ffbacked Ostapenko52c202$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a95…1432backed Ostapenko52c201$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a96…45a0backed Bejlek48c201$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.