TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06af…11cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$92.63
Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertensbacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$280.28
Qatar Total Open: Diana Shnaider vs Alycia Parksbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,805
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Thijs Boogaard vs Hugo Grenierbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150.2%+$1,652.5
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$117.64
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$88.55
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$146.39
Transylvania Open: Xinyu Wang vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$568.83
Open Sud de France: Arthur Gea vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$589.21
Open Sud de France: Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,394
Ostrava Open: Fiona Ferro vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+95%+$729.9
Open Sud de France: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$652
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+82.1%+$480.15
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$113.71
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.1%+$675.96
Transylvania Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$746
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$471.58
Transylvania Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+400%+$519.84
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Moise Kouamebacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$437.07
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Clement Tabur vs Martin Dammbacked Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$232.05
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Moise Kouame vs Elias Ymerbacked Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.07
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$126.67
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$326.29
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,225.96
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$497.82
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$138.84
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$600.37
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$58.11
All 6 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$710.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$194.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.