CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc961e5537dae6c8f1588ff630cf34938c0f232fbc8e4a62b1e8e1ccef0b57a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed VP.Prodigy | 60c | 2,626$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.73 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MASONIC | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MASONIC | 4c | 961.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed MASONIC | 40c | 741.21$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.48 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…9291backed MASONIC | 24c | 648.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.48 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 56c | 541.56$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.28 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked MASONIC | 26c | 471.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 434.3$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d83…0cc5backed VP.Prodigy | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…af39backed MASONIC | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MASONIC | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed MASONIC | 26c | 297.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…f488backed MASONIC | 24c | 296.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed VP.Prodigy | 64c | 296.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed VP.Prodigy | 54c | 242.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy | 78c | 211.11$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked VP.Prodigy | 74c | 190.69$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MASONIC | 52c | 166.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed MASONIC | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked VP.Prodigy | 67c | 143.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…11cbbacked MASONIC | 49c | 127.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed VP.Prodigy | 66c | 101.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked MASONIC | 29c | 100.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed MASONIC | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked MASONIC | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 95.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MASONIC | 32c | 75.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed MASONIC | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked MASONIC | 54c | 73.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed MASONIC | 45c | 58.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked MASONIC | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…7b86backed MASONIC | 53c | 46.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed MASONIC | 45c | 42.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed MASONIC | 49c | 40.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed VP.Prodigy | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 36.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -9.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed MASONIC | 40c | 34.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed VP.Prodigy | 56c | 33.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed VP.Prodigy | 69c | 30.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…7618backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 29.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed VP.Prodigy | 70c | 25.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
- Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.