Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertens

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2f6fd8357a0cdf64c0b104ee6417439b1d119af7ed2ede0779cedc904261cf8

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Kasatkinaof Kasatkina, Mertens
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $152,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $187,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,257 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7690…74e1backed Kasatkina	55c	10,000$5,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,454.68	35	74.3%26 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	67cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mertens	66c	9,482$6,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,219.87	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mertens	76c	9,052$6,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,879.52	655	58.9%386 W · 269 L	-32.1wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Kasatkina	30c	8,411$2,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,852.59	352	47.2%166 W · 186 L	-23.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mertens	55c	7,245$3,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,953.88	8,217	45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L	+166.6wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kasatkina	24c	7,124$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,413.27	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Kasatkina	29c	6,371$1,818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,553.38	1,658	49.9%828 W · 830 L	+7.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mertens	41c	3,908$1,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,598.71	11,435	43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L	+17.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Kasatkina	28c	3,000$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160	450	36%162 W · 288 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Kasatkina	37c	2,864$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,816.3	302	41.7%126 W · 176 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Kasatkina	27c	2,230$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,627.88	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Mertens	48c	2,099$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.9	198	46%91 W · 107 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Mertens	19c	1,720$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.81	115	30.4%35 W · 80 L	-10.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9550…0bd1backed Mertens	75c	1,701$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,274	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.75per pick	75cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mertens	59c	1,537$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.01	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mertens	13c	1,501$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.53	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Mertens	73c	1,500$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7cc…b660backed Mertens	14c	1,400$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	70	17.1%12 W · 58 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mertens	55c	1,323$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.04	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Kasatkina	35c	1,258$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.41	1,161	37.6%437 W · 724 L	-27.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Kasatkina	33c	1,200$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06af…11cbbacked Mertens	24c	1,168$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.28	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Kasatkina	46c	1,064$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574.46	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Mertens	73c	1,014$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.39	136	52.9%72 W · 64 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Mertens	76c	987.41$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.43	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-7.8wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15a2…5745backed Mertens	34c	816.91$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.25	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b46…bb95backed Mertens	69c	816$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.86	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Kasatkina	21c	800$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632	296	54.4%161 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Kasatkina	29c	741.38$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.38	166	65.7%109 W · 57 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Kasatkina	31c	739.03$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.03	186	63.4%118 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Mertens	76c	631.58$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	97	61.9%60 W · 37 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Kasatkina	30c	606.93$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.33	1,276	30.4%388 W · 888 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Kasatkina	43c	604$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.68	692	49.6%343 W · 349 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Mertens	75c	600$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	465	53.8%250 W · 215 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Kasatkina	34c	581.34$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	272	31.3%85 W · 187 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Mertens	71c	561.18$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	386	52.3%202 W · 184 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Kasatkina	27c	551.06$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.06	556	46.4%258 W · 298 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Kasatkina	40c	504.45$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.45	202	61.4%124 W · 78 L	+11.4wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Mertens	72c	486.66$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.39	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Mertens	45c	437.76$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.99	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mertens	50c	435$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.4	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Mertens	61c	433$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.76	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Mertens	45c	416.91$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.61	226	41.6%94 W · 132 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kasatkina	30c	400$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	348	42.2%147 W · 201 L	+12.4wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc22…b893backed Mertens	76c	394.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8713…4007backed Mertens	75c	385.33$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	42	69%29 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	72cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Kasatkina	26c	384.61$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.61	420	46.9%197 W · 223 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Mertens	62c	384.4$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.17	520	37.7%196 W · 324 L	-30.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mertens	70c	369.2$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.44	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Kasatkina	29c	346.59$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.82	2,145	54.2%1,162 W · 983 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mertens	39c	337.39$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.15	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Kasatkina	42c	317.41$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.33	352	48.6%171 W · 181 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Mertens	69c	289.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Kasatkina	43c	289.34$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.29	491	43%211 W · 280 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kasatkina	52c	280.46$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.27	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Kasatkina	49c	278.17$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.17	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Kasatkina	26c	269.23$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.23	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Mertens	74c	269.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	398	72.4%288 W · 110 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a89…bb33backed Kasatkina	28c	264.29$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.29	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mertens	72c	256.24$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.67	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1a…db57backed Mertens	50c	244.98$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.18	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-6.4wins	-0.29per pick	38cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Mertens	13c	237.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	127	22%28 W · 99 L	+9.9wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Kasatkina	43c	233.37$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.37	1,841	48.5%892 W · 949 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1225…33bfbacked Mertens	75c	226.69$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.55	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Mertens	45c	221.69$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.96	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-6.2wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Kasatkina	27c	219.08$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.95	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Kasatkina	46c	216.2$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.2	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mertens	55c	205.54$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.05	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Mertens	74c	203.19$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	106	68.9%73 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Mertens	49c	200$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	1,026	46.8%480 W · 546 L	+14.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Mertens	51c	194.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	444	48.9%217 W · 227 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kasatkina	63c	185.81$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.63	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Kasatkina	26c	167.18$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.71	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…13f0backed Kasatkina	72c	160$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.2	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1b9…d795backed Kasatkina	58c	152.57$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.43	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Kasatkina	43c	151.16$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.16	693	50.5%350 W · 343 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Mertens	67c	149.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	479	46.3%222 W · 257 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Kasatkina	61c	140.03$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.31	264	62.1%164 W · 100 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Mertens	74c	135.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	165	58.8%97 W · 68 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6b…b355backed Mertens	22c	134.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.07	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Kasatkina	37c	134.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.04	359	44.8%161 W · 198 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Mertens	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	524	60.9%319 W · 205 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Mertens	67c	132.38$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.79	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Kasatkina	39c	131.45$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.69	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Mertens	37c	128.79$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.23	1,130	27.9%315 W · 815 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Kasatkina	32c	124.17$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.17	884	46.8%414 W · 470 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Kasatkina	39c	124$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.89	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kasatkina	26c	106.19$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.58	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Mertens	73c	100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	1,056	55.4%585 W · 471 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Kasatkina	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kasatkina	26c	100$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Kasatkina	26c	99.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.99	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Kasatkina	42c	99.98$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.49	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kasatkina	40c	95$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.43	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Mertens	28c	93.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	101	50.5%51 W · 50 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Kasatkina	26c	93$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.82	982	40.1%394 W · 588 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf82…80f5backed Mertens	76c	92.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…414bbacked Kasatkina	25c	84$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.75per pick	25cpaid	+300%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mertens	71c	83.7$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.42	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Kasatkina	50c	81.68$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.19	864	70%605 W · 259 L	+43.2wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertensthis page
Kasatkina vs. Mertens: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Kasatkina vs. Mertens: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Kasatkina vs. Mertens: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Kasatkina vs. Mertens: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
Kasatkina vs. Mertens: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Kasatkina vs MertensKasatkina won
Set Handicap: Mertens (-1.5) vs Kasatkina (+1.5)Kasatkina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertens

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event