TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b46…bb95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$318.39
Qatar Total Open: Magdalena Frech vs Ann Libacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$95.67
Qatar Total Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elise Mertensbacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$565.86
Rotterdam Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$28.6
Dallas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$43.74
Argentina Open: Lautaro Midon vs Pedro Martinezbacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$28.04
Qatar Total Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+82.8%+$73.57
Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$88.8
Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+50.3%+$391.15
Qatar Total Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.5%+$18.59
Ostrava Open: Katie Boulter vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$344.94
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.6%+$166.69
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Clara Tausonbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$19.56
Ostrava Open: Diane Parry vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.3
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25.7%+$62.23
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Camila Osoriobacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+47.6%+$62.82
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Vera Zvonareva vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zvonareva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+48.2%+$79.54
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Ella Seidelbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+63%+$113.53
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Berfu Cengizbacked Cengiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+36.7%+$106.67
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.5%+$70.22
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Julia Grabherbacked Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26%+$85.12
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Moyuka Uchijima vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+43.1%+$5.52
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Simona Waltertbacked Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.6%+$33.9
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs LAGUNA (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25%+$22.2
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group Bbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$88.8
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41.6%+$36.94
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$204.35
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Nexus (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$43.04
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs 9z (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+51.9%+$172.91
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31.8%+$4.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.4%+$38.13
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$24.36
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25%+$35
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+116%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$88.8
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$88.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$88.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.